Mauro Mendes leads the Mato Grosso Senate race for first place, with trader consensus at 70% reflecting his sustained advantage in recent polling. As former governor who stepped down in March 2026 to run, he benefits from strong statewide name recognition and consolidated support often exceeding 45% when voters select two names. Janaina Riva trails in second with roughly 30% backing, while José Medeiros, Pedro Taques, Carlos Fávaro, and the remaining field draw single-digit shares that leave their first-place odds minimal. Late-August surveys from Paraná Pesquisas and Quaest show no significant movement in the past month, with the October 4 vote still weeks away and high undecided rates persisting mainly on the second seat.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMauro Mendes 70%
Janaina Riva 16.0%
Beny Godoy 3.9%
Margareth Buzetti 3.6%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Mauro Mendes
70%
Janaina Riva
16%
Beny Godoy
4%
Margareth Buzetti
4%
Pedro Taques
3%
Fávaro
3%
Galvan
2%
Jose Medeiros
2%
Coronel Darwin
2%
Professor Nelson Ferreira
1%
Mauro Mendes 70%
Janaina Riva 16.0%
Beny Godoy 3.9%
Margareth Buzetti 3.6%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Mauro Mendes
$7,070 Vol.
70%
Janaina Riva
$245 Vol.
16%
Beny Godoy
$93 Vol.
4%
Margareth Buzetti
$79 Vol.
4%
Pedro Taques
$64 Vol.
3%
Fávaro
$378 Vol.
3%
Galvan
$167 Vol.
2%
Jose Medeiros
$64 Vol.
2%
Coronel Darwin
$114 Vol.
2%
Professor Nelson Ferreira
$135 Vol.
1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Mauro Mendes leads the Mato Grosso Senate race for first place, with trader consensus at 70% reflecting his sustained advantage in recent polling. As former governor who stepped down in March 2026 to run, he benefits from strong statewide name recognition and consolidated support often exceeding 45% when voters select two names. Janaina Riva trails in second with roughly 30% backing, while José Medeiros, Pedro Taques, Carlos Fávaro, and the remaining field draw single-digit shares that leave their first-place odds minimal. Late-August surveys from Paraná Pesquisas and Quaest show no significant movement in the past month, with the October 4 vote still weeks away and high undecided rates persisting mainly on the second seat.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Volume
$8,407End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Mauro Mendes leads the Mato Grosso Senate race for first place, with trader consensus at 70% reflecting his sustained advantage in recent polling. As former governor who stepped down in March 2026 to run, he benefits from strong statewide name recognition and consolidated support often exceeding 45% when voters select two names. Janaina Riva trails in second with roughly 30% backing, while José Medeiros, Pedro Taques, Carlos Fávaro, and the remaining field draw single-digit shares that leave their first-place odds minimal. Late-August surveys from Paraná Pesquisas and Quaest show no significant movement in the past month, with the October 4 vote still weeks away and high undecided rates persisting mainly on the second seat.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$8,407End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mauro Mendes leads the Mato Grosso Senate race for first place, with trader consensus at 70% reflecting his sustained advantage in recent polling. As former governor who stepped down in March 2026 to run, he benefits from strong statewide name recognition and consolidated support often exceeding 45% when voters select two names. Janaina Riva trails in second with roughly 30% backing, while José Medeiros, Pedro Taques, Carlos Fávaro, and the remaining field draw single-digit shares that leave their first-place odds minimal. Late-August surveys from Paraná Pesquisas and Quaest show no significant movement in the past month, with the October 4 vote still weeks away and high undecided rates persisting mainly on the second seat.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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