Recent Quaest polling for the Rio Grande do Norte Senate race shows Styvenson Valentim leading with 16% in combined first- and second-choice support, followed closely by Zenaide Maia at 10%, with Samanda de Lula and Rafael Motta at 8% each and Coronel Hélio at 5%. High shares of undecided voters (24%) and blank or null ballots (23%) reflect the fragmented field and early stage of the campaign, which officially began in mid-August. Traders price the second-place outcome as particularly tight among Maia, de Lula, and Valentim, consistent with prior Atlas surveys indicating technical ties across multiple contenders. Coattails from the concurrent gubernatorial contest, party alliances, and voter consolidation in the final weeks could shift positioning ahead of the October 4 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedZenaide Maia 34%
Samanda de Lula 33%
Styvenson Valentim 22.3%
Rafael Motta 10.8%
$10,975 Vol.
$10,975 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Zenaide Maia
34%
Samanda de Lula
33%
Styvenson Valentim
22%
Rafael Motta
11%
Luciana Mandu
6%
Coronel Hélio
4%
Rosália Fernandes
1%
Professor Guilherme
1%
Linhares Jiboia
1%
Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós
<1%
Sonia Godeiro
<1%
Tércio Tinôco
<1%
Gari Wendell Batista
<1%
Sandro Pimentel
<1%
Zenaide Maia 34%
Samanda de Lula 33%
Styvenson Valentim 22.3%
Rafael Motta 10.8%
$10,975 Vol.
$10,975 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Zenaide Maia
$1,818 Vol.
34%
Samanda de Lula
$3,321 Vol.
33%
Styvenson Valentim
$1,295 Vol.
22%
Rafael Motta
$688 Vol.
11%
Luciana Mandu
$428 Vol.
6%
Coronel Hélio
$362 Vol.
4%
Rosália Fernandes
$477 Vol.
1%
Professor Guilherme
$315 Vol.
1%
Linhares Jiboia
$377 Vol.
1%
Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós
$378 Vol.
<1%
Sonia Godeiro
$307 Vol.
<1%
Tércio Tinôco
$457 Vol.
<1%
Gari Wendell Batista
$406 Vol.
<1%
Sandro Pimentel
$347 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Quaest polling for the Rio Grande do Norte Senate race shows Styvenson Valentim leading with 16% in combined first- and second-choice support, followed closely by Zenaide Maia at 10%, with Samanda de Lula and Rafael Motta at 8% each and Coronel Hélio at 5%. High shares of undecided voters (24%) and blank or null ballots (23%) reflect the fragmented field and early stage of the campaign, which officially began in mid-August. Traders price the second-place outcome as particularly tight among Maia, de Lula, and Valentim, consistent with prior Atlas surveys indicating technical ties across multiple contenders. Coattails from the concurrent gubernatorial contest, party alliances, and voter consolidation in the final weeks could shift positioning ahead of the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
Volume
$10,975End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Quaest polling for the Rio Grande do Norte Senate race shows Styvenson Valentim leading with 16% in combined first- and second-choice support, followed closely by Zenaide Maia at 10%, with Samanda de Lula and Rafael Motta at 8% each and Coronel Hélio at 5%. High shares of undecided voters (24%) and blank or null ballots (23%) reflect the fragmented field and early stage of the campaign, which officially began in mid-August. Traders price the second-place outcome as particularly tight among Maia, de Lula, and Valentim, consistent with prior Atlas surveys indicating technical ties across multiple contenders. Coattails from the concurrent gubernatorial contest, party alliances, and voter consolidation in the final weeks could shift positioning ahead of the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$10,975End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Quaest polling for the Rio Grande do Norte Senate race shows Styvenson Valentim leading with 16% in combined first- and second-choice support, followed closely by Zenaide Maia at 10%, with Samanda de Lula and Rafael Motta at 8% each and Coronel Hélio at 5%. High shares of undecided voters (24%) and blank or null ballots (23%) reflect the fragmented field and early stage of the campaign, which officially began in mid-August. Traders price the second-place outcome as particularly tight among Maia, de Lula, and Valentim, consistent with prior Atlas surveys indicating technical ties across multiple contenders. Coattails from the concurrent gubernatorial contest, party alliances, and voter consolidation in the final weeks could shift positioning ahead of the October 4 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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