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Politics·Main Election

Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner

icon for Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner
Politics·Main Election

Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner

Luciano Zucco 54%

Juliana Brizola 45%

Gabriel Souza 2.9%

Marcelo Maranata 1.6%

Polymarket

$93,890 Vol.

Luciano Zucco 54%

Juliana Brizola 45%

Gabriel Souza 2.9%

Marcelo Maranata 1.6%

Polymarket

$93,890 Vol.

Luciano Zucco

$42,213 Vol.

54%

Juliana Brizola

$32,811 Vol.

45%

Gabriel Souza

$9,741 Vol.

3%

Marcelo Maranata

$6,657 Vol.

2%

Luis Carlos Heinze

$2,467 Vol.

<1%

The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Luciano Zucco (PL) holds a narrow lead in trader consensus for the October 2026 Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election due to recent polling momentum and consolidation among right-leaning voters. The latest Genial/Quaest survey (August 20-23) shows Zucco at 26% versus Juliana Brizola (PDT) at 23% in the first round, a technical tie within the margin of error, while Real Time Big Data (August 20-24) gives Brizola a slight edge at 38% to Zucco's 32%. Both candidates launched their bids in late July, with Zucco backed by PL allies including Flávio Bolsonaro and Brizola drawing support from Lula and the PT. Gabriel Souza (MDB), the incumbent governor's designated successor, trails at 9-19%, leaving the contest centered on the two frontrunners amid 27%+ undecided voters. High volatility persists with roughly five weeks until the first round.

The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$93,890
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Luciano Zucco (PL) holds a narrow lead in trader consensus for the October 2026 Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election due to recent polling momentum and consolidation among right-leaning voters. The latest Genial/Quaest survey (August 20-23) shows Zucco at 26% versus Juliana Brizola (PDT) at 23% in the first round, a technical tie within the margin of error, while Real Time Big Data (August 20-24) gives Brizola a slight edge at 38% to Zucco's 32%. Both candidates launched their bids in late July, with Zucco backed by PL allies including Flávio Bolsonaro and Brizola drawing support from Lula and the PT. Gabriel Souza (MDB), the incumbent governor's designated successor, trails at 9-19%, leaving the contest centered on the two frontrunners amid 27%+ undecided voters. High volatility persists with roughly five weeks until the first round.

The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$93,890
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Luciano Zucco" at 54%, followed by "Juliana Brizola" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner" has generated $93.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner" is "Luciano Zucco" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Juliana Brizola" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.