**Recent August 2026 polls for Sergipe’s two Senate seats show a fragmented field where André David frequently leads first-preference intentions, while André Moura, Eduardo Amorim, Rogério Carvalho, and Alessandro Vieira remain closely bunched behind.** Multiple surveys from CTAS, INOR, Veritá, and others register technical ties or single-digit gaps within margins of error, with undecided and blank/null responses often exceeding 20-30 percent. The dual-vote system amplifies uncertainty, as voters select two distinct candidates and second preferences remain fluid. Incumbent re-election bids by Rogério Carvalho and Alessandro Vieira compete against newer names backed by different coalitions, sustaining volatility. This environment keeps probabilities for second place tightly distributed among the leading contenders, with limited separation until clearer trends emerge closer to the October 4 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAndré Moura 28%
Rogerio Carvalho 28%
Delegado Alessandro 18.7%
Eduardo Amorim 18%
$18,888 Vol.
$18,888 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
André Moura
28%
Rogerio Carvalho
28%
Delegado Alessandro
19%
Eduardo Amorim
18%
Delegado André David
13%
Rodrigo Valadares
3%
Renatinha
1%
Coronel Rocha
<1%
Edvaldo
<1%
Iran Barbosa
<1%
Paulinho da União Tur
<1%
André Moura 28%
Rogerio Carvalho 28%
Delegado Alessandro 18.7%
Eduardo Amorim 18%
$18,888 Vol.
$18,888 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
André Moura
$2,916 Vol.
28%
Rogerio Carvalho
$5,263 Vol.
28%
Delegado Alessandro
$1,589 Vol.
19%
Eduardo Amorim
$2,202 Vol.
18%
Delegado André David
$1,670 Vol.
13%
Rodrigo Valadares
$1,148 Vol.
3%
Renatinha
$1,123 Vol.
1%
Coronel Rocha
$561 Vol.
<1%
Edvaldo
$432 Vol.
<1%
Iran Barbosa
$1,220 Vol.
<1%
Paulinho da União Tur
$765 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Recent August 2026 polls for Sergipe’s two Senate seats show a fragmented field where André David frequently leads first-preference intentions, while André Moura, Eduardo Amorim, Rogério Carvalho, and Alessandro Vieira remain closely bunched behind.** Multiple surveys from CTAS, INOR, Veritá, and others register technical ties or single-digit gaps within margins of error, with undecided and blank/null responses often exceeding 20-30 percent. The dual-vote system amplifies uncertainty, as voters select two distinct candidates and second preferences remain fluid. Incumbent re-election bids by Rogério Carvalho and Alessandro Vieira compete against newer names backed by different coalitions, sustaining volatility. This environment keeps probabilities for second place tightly distributed among the leading contenders, with limited separation until clearer trends emerge closer to the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ET
Volume
$18,888End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Recent August 2026 polls for Sergipe’s two Senate seats show a fragmented field where André David frequently leads first-preference intentions, while André Moura, Eduardo Amorim, Rogério Carvalho, and Alessandro Vieira remain closely bunched behind.** Multiple surveys from CTAS, INOR, Veritá, and others register technical ties or single-digit gaps within margins of error, with undecided and blank/null responses often exceeding 20-30 percent. The dual-vote system amplifies uncertainty, as voters select two distinct candidates and second preferences remain fluid. Incumbent re-election bids by Rogério Carvalho and Alessandro Vieira compete against newer names backed by different coalitions, sustaining volatility. This environment keeps probabilities for second place tightly distributed among the leading contenders, with limited separation until clearer trends emerge closer to the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$18,888End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent August 2026 polls for Sergipe’s two Senate seats show a fragmented field where André David frequently leads first-preference intentions, while André Moura, Eduardo Amorim, Rogério Carvalho, and Alessandro Vieira remain closely bunched behind.** Multiple surveys from CTAS, INOR, Veritá, and others register technical ties or single-digit gaps within margins of error, with undecided and blank/null responses often exceeding 20-30 percent. The dual-vote system amplifies uncertainty, as voters select two distinct candidates and second preferences remain fluid. Incumbent re-election bids by Rogério Carvalho and Alessandro Vieira compete against newer names backed by different coalitions, sustaining volatility. This environment keeps probabilities for second place tightly distributed among the leading contenders, with limited separation until clearer trends emerge closer to the October 4 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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