Recent polling from late August shows a narrow contest for second place in Amapá’s October 4 Senate election, with Lucas Barreto (PSD) leading simulated second-vote preferences at 25% ahead of Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) at 16%. Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) dominates first-place intentions, leaving the second seat as the main battleground. Barreto benefits from incumbency and alignment with the leading gubernatorial candidate, while Randolfe draws on established PT support. Other contenders including Alliny Serrão, Acácio Favacho, and Capi trail further behind. With roughly six weeks until voting and sizable undecided shares in surveys, shifts in voter second preferences or turnout patterns among key blocs could still widen or close the gap between the frontrunners.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAmapá Senate Election: 2nd Place
Amapá Senate Election: 2nd Place
Lucas Barreto 43%
Randolfe 37%
Alliny Serrão 7%
Professor Uzian Pinto 4.3%
$13,346 Vol.
$13,346 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lucas Barreto
43%
Randolfe
37%
Alliny Serrão
7%
Professor Uzian Pinto
4%
Capi
4%
Acácio Favacho
3%
Rayssa Furlan
3%
Helio Silva
3%
Juíza Jô
1%
Lucas Barreto 43%
Randolfe 37%
Alliny Serrão 7%
Professor Uzian Pinto 4.3%
$13,346 Vol.
$13,346 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Lucas Barreto
$1,563 Vol.
43%
Randolfe
$8,262 Vol.
37%
Alliny Serrão
$276 Vol.
7%
Professor Uzian Pinto
$468 Vol.
4%
Capi
$207 Vol.
4%
Acácio Favacho
$482 Vol.
3%
Rayssa Furlan
$145 Vol.
3%
Helio Silva
$1,796 Vol.
3%
Juíza Jô
$145 Vol.
1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August shows a narrow contest for second place in Amapá’s October 4 Senate election, with Lucas Barreto (PSD) leading simulated second-vote preferences at 25% ahead of Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) at 16%. Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) dominates first-place intentions, leaving the second seat as the main battleground. Barreto benefits from incumbency and alignment with the leading gubernatorial candidate, while Randolfe draws on established PT support. Other contenders including Alliny Serrão, Acácio Favacho, and Capi trail further behind. With roughly six weeks until voting and sizable undecided shares in surveys, shifts in voter second preferences or turnout patterns among key blocs could still widen or close the gap between the frontrunners.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET
Volume
$13,346End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August shows a narrow contest for second place in Amapá’s October 4 Senate election, with Lucas Barreto (PSD) leading simulated second-vote preferences at 25% ahead of Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) at 16%. Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) dominates first-place intentions, leaving the second seat as the main battleground. Barreto benefits from incumbency and alignment with the leading gubernatorial candidate, while Randolfe draws on established PT support. Other contenders including Alliny Serrão, Acácio Favacho, and Capi trail further behind. With roughly six weeks until voting and sizable undecided shares in surveys, shifts in voter second preferences or turnout patterns among key blocs could still widen or close the gap between the frontrunners.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$13,346End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from late August shows a narrow contest for second place in Amapá’s October 4 Senate election, with Lucas Barreto (PSD) leading simulated second-vote preferences at 25% ahead of Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) at 16%. Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) dominates first-place intentions, leaving the second seat as the main battleground. Barreto benefits from incumbency and alignment with the leading gubernatorial candidate, while Randolfe draws on established PT support. Other contenders including Alliny Serrão, Acácio Favacho, and Capi trail further behind. With roughly six weeks until voting and sizable undecided shares in surveys, shifts in voter second preferences or turnout patterns among key blocs could still widen or close the gap between the frontrunners.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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