Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a dominant position in Acre for first place in the 2026 presidential first round, reflecting sustained regional backing for the Liberal Party candidate and Bolsonarismo. Recent Quaest polling from late August shows him at 42% against Lula’s 25%, with earlier Real Time Big Data surveys indicating leads near 50%. Acre’s consistent support for Jair Bolsonaro in prior cycles underpins the current trader consensus, reinforced by high rejection of the incumbent and limited inroads by alternatives like Ronaldo Caiado or Pablo Marçal. The first round occurs October 4; notable late developments such as unexpected vote consolidation among other right-leaning candidates or shifts in local turnout patterns could narrow margins, though current evidence points to structural advantages for the frontrunner.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFlavio Bolsonaro 97.4%
Rui Costa Pimenta <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
97%
Rui Costa Pimenta
1%
Clariana Barao
1%
Edmilson Costa
1%
Lula
1%
Renan Santos
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
1%
Zema
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Samara
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 97.4%
Rui Costa Pimenta <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$4,225 Vol.
97%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$303 Vol.
1%
Clariana Barao
$303 Vol.
1%
Edmilson Costa
$365 Vol.
1%
Lula
$315 Vol.
1%
Renan Santos
$303 Vol.
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$323 Vol.
1%
Zema
$345 Vol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$350 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$350 Vol.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$358 Vol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$347 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$331 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Acre, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a dominant position in Acre for first place in the 2026 presidential first round, reflecting sustained regional backing for the Liberal Party candidate and Bolsonarismo. Recent Quaest polling from late August shows him at 42% against Lula’s 25%, with earlier Real Time Big Data surveys indicating leads near 50%. Acre’s consistent support for Jair Bolsonaro in prior cycles underpins the current trader consensus, reinforced by high rejection of the incumbent and limited inroads by alternatives like Ronaldo Caiado or Pablo Marçal. The first round occurs October 4; notable late developments such as unexpected vote consolidation among other right-leaning candidates or shifts in local turnout patterns could narrow margins, though current evidence points to structural advantages for the frontrunner.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Acre, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ET
Volume
$8,214End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Acre, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a dominant position in Acre for first place in the 2026 presidential first round, reflecting sustained regional backing for the Liberal Party candidate and Bolsonarismo. Recent Quaest polling from late August shows him at 42% against Lula’s 25%, with earlier Real Time Big Data surveys indicating leads near 50%. Acre’s consistent support for Jair Bolsonaro in prior cycles underpins the current trader consensus, reinforced by high rejection of the incumbent and limited inroads by alternatives like Ronaldo Caiado or Pablo Marçal. The first round occurs October 4; notable late developments such as unexpected vote consolidation among other right-leaning candidates or shifts in local turnout patterns could narrow margins, though current evidence points to structural advantages for the frontrunner.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Acre, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Acre.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Acre. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$8,214End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a dominant position in Acre for first place in the 2026 presidential first round, reflecting sustained regional backing for the Liberal Party candidate and Bolsonarismo. Recent Quaest polling from late August shows him at 42% against Lula’s 25%, with earlier Real Time Big Data surveys indicating leads near 50%. Acre’s consistent support for Jair Bolsonaro in prior cycles underpins the current trader consensus, reinforced by high rejection of the incumbent and limited inroads by alternatives like Ronaldo Caiado or Pablo Marçal. The first round occurs October 4; notable late developments such as unexpected vote consolidation among other right-leaning candidates or shifts in local turnout patterns could narrow margins, though current evidence points to structural advantages for the frontrunner.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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