Recent August polls for Sergipe’s two Senate seats show a fragmented field with high undecided and blank/null shares often exceeding 20-50%, keeping second-place prospects fluid among Rogerio Carvalho, André Moura, Delegado Alessandro, Eduardo Amorim, and Delegado André David. Incumbent re-election bids by Carvalho (PT) and Alessandro (MDB), alongside formal candidacies launched in early August and shifting coalitions such as the PT-União alliance, have produced volatile first- and second-choice results across institutes like CTAS, INOR, and Real Time Big Data. Traders price the leading names in a narrow band near 27-28% for second place, reflecting the absence of a clear frontrunner behind the top vote-getter and the scope for late swings driven by turnout, regional mobilization, or campaign events before the October 4 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRogerio Carvalho 28%
André Moura 27%
Eduardo Amorim 19%
Delegado Alessandro 17.6%
$18,931 Vol.
$18,931 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Rogerio Carvalho
28%
André Moura
27%
Eduardo Amorim
19%
Delegado Alessandro
19%
Delegado André David
10%
Rodrigo Valadares
4%
Renatinha
1%
Coronel Rocha
<1%
Edvaldo
<1%
Paulinho da União Tur
<1%
Iran Barbosa
<1%
Rogerio Carvalho 28%
André Moura 27%
Eduardo Amorim 19%
Delegado Alessandro 17.6%
$18,931 Vol.
$18,931 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Rogerio Carvalho
$5,263 Vol.
28%
André Moura
$2,916 Vol.
27%
Eduardo Amorim
$2,202 Vol.
19%
Delegado Alessandro
$1,589 Vol.
19%
Delegado André David
$1,670 Vol.
10%
Rodrigo Valadares
$1,191 Vol.
4%
Renatinha
$1,123 Vol.
1%
Coronel Rocha
$561 Vol.
<1%
Edvaldo
$432 Vol.
<1%
Paulinho da União Tur
$765 Vol.
<1%
Iran Barbosa
$1,220 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent August polls for Sergipe’s two Senate seats show a fragmented field with high undecided and blank/null shares often exceeding 20-50%, keeping second-place prospects fluid among Rogerio Carvalho, André Moura, Delegado Alessandro, Eduardo Amorim, and Delegado André David. Incumbent re-election bids by Carvalho (PT) and Alessandro (MDB), alongside formal candidacies launched in early August and shifting coalitions such as the PT-União alliance, have produced volatile first- and second-choice results across institutes like CTAS, INOR, and Real Time Big Data. Traders price the leading names in a narrow band near 27-28% for second place, reflecting the absence of a clear frontrunner behind the top vote-getter and the scope for late swings driven by turnout, regional mobilization, or campaign events before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ET
Volume
$18,931End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent August polls for Sergipe’s two Senate seats show a fragmented field with high undecided and blank/null shares often exceeding 20-50%, keeping second-place prospects fluid among Rogerio Carvalho, André Moura, Delegado Alessandro, Eduardo Amorim, and Delegado André David. Incumbent re-election bids by Carvalho (PT) and Alessandro (MDB), alongside formal candidacies launched in early August and shifting coalitions such as the PT-União alliance, have produced volatile first- and second-choice results across institutes like CTAS, INOR, and Real Time Big Data. Traders price the leading names in a narrow band near 27-28% for second place, reflecting the absence of a clear frontrunner behind the top vote-getter and the scope for late swings driven by turnout, regional mobilization, or campaign events before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$18,931End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent August polls for Sergipe’s two Senate seats show a fragmented field with high undecided and blank/null shares often exceeding 20-50%, keeping second-place prospects fluid among Rogerio Carvalho, André Moura, Delegado Alessandro, Eduardo Amorim, and Delegado André David. Incumbent re-election bids by Carvalho (PT) and Alessandro (MDB), alongside formal candidacies launched in early August and shifting coalitions such as the PT-União alliance, have produced volatile first- and second-choice results across institutes like CTAS, INOR, and Real Time Big Data. Traders price the leading names in a narrow band near 27-28% for second place, reflecting the absence of a clear frontrunner behind the top vote-getter and the scope for late swings driven by turnout, regional mobilization, or campaign events before the October 4 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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