Recent Quaest polling shows Flávio Bolsonaro leading Roraima voters by a wide margin at 52% for the October 4 first round, far ahead of Lula at 17% and other listed contenders. This positioning reflects Roraima’s consistent conservative lean, including Jair Bolsonaro’s 76% second-round share there in 2022 and strong PL performance in the state’s recent supplemental gubernatorial vote. Flávio’s formal Liberal Party nomination and family endorsement have consolidated right-leaning support in the northern border state, where opposition remains fragmented across multiple lower-polling names. Trader consensus at 96.8% for his first-place finish aligns with these regional patterns. Late voter shifts, unexpected national developments, or unusually high turnout among smaller candidates could still alter the local outcome before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFlavio Bolsonaro 96.8%
Lula 2.6%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
Escritor Augusto Cury <1%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
97%
Lula
3%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Zema
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 96.8%
Lula 2.6%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
Escritor Augusto Cury <1%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$3,367 Vol.
97%
Lula
$593 Vol.
3%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$424 Vol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$560 Vol.
<1%
Zema
$417 Vol.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$498 Vol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$528 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$492 Vol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$448 Vol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$448 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$448 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$416 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$418 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent Quaest polling shows Flávio Bolsonaro leading Roraima voters by a wide margin at 52% for the October 4 first round, far ahead of Lula at 17% and other listed contenders. This positioning reflects Roraima’s consistent conservative lean, including Jair Bolsonaro’s 76% second-round share there in 2022 and strong PL performance in the state’s recent supplemental gubernatorial vote. Flávio’s formal Liberal Party nomination and family endorsement have consolidated right-leaning support in the northern border state, where opposition remains fragmented across multiple lower-polling names. Trader consensus at 96.8% for his first-place finish aligns with these regional patterns. Late voter shifts, unexpected national developments, or unusually high turnout among smaller candidates could still alter the local outcome before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
Volume
$9,055End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent Quaest polling shows Flávio Bolsonaro leading Roraima voters by a wide margin at 52% for the October 4 first round, far ahead of Lula at 17% and other listed contenders. This positioning reflects Roraima’s consistent conservative lean, including Jair Bolsonaro’s 76% second-round share there in 2022 and strong PL performance in the state’s recent supplemental gubernatorial vote. Flávio’s formal Liberal Party nomination and family endorsement have consolidated right-leaning support in the northern border state, where opposition remains fragmented across multiple lower-polling names. Trader consensus at 96.8% for his first-place finish aligns with these regional patterns. Late voter shifts, unexpected national developments, or unusually high turnout among smaller candidates could still alter the local outcome before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$9,055End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Quaest polling shows Flávio Bolsonaro leading Roraima voters by a wide margin at 52% for the October 4 first round, far ahead of Lula at 17% and other listed contenders. This positioning reflects Roraima’s consistent conservative lean, including Jair Bolsonaro’s 76% second-round share there in 2022 and strong PL performance in the state’s recent supplemental gubernatorial vote. Flávio’s formal Liberal Party nomination and family endorsement have consolidated right-leaning support in the northern border state, where opposition remains fragmented across multiple lower-polling names. Trader consensus at 96.8% for his first-place finish aligns with these regional patterns. Late voter shifts, unexpected national developments, or unusually high turnout among smaller candidates could still alter the local outcome before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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