Recent short-term forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and global models indicate partly cloudy to variable conditions for Moscow on August 28, with overnight radiative cooling under light northerly or variable winds expected to produce a minimum near 9–12°C. Current dew points around 9–11°C and low precipitation chances limit extreme drops, while partial cloud cover and light mixing prevent deeper cooling. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly on 9–10°C outcomes, reflecting minor model spread in exact cloud timing and wind speed that could shift the low by 1–2°C; historical August 28 averages near 11°C provide context but recent cooling trends support the lower range. Updated model runs overnight will likely refine these thresholds before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Moscow on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on August 28?
8°C 45%
7°C 44%
9°C 44%
10°C 44%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
6°C or below
17%
7°C
44%
8°C
45%
9°C
44%
10°C
44%
11°C
30%
12°C
29%
13°C
40%
14°C
7%
15°C
6%
16°C or higher
1%
8°C 45%
7°C 44%
9°C 44%
10°C 44%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
6°C or below
$169 Vol.
17%
7°C
$6 Vol.
44%
8°C
$0 Vol.
45%
9°C
$0 Vol.
44%
10°C
$0 Vol.
44%
11°C
$0 Vol.
30%
12°C
$0 Vol.
29%
13°C
$10 Vol.
40%
14°C
$42 Vol.
7%
15°C
$42 Vol.
6%
16°C or higher
$42 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and global models indicate partly cloudy to variable conditions for Moscow on August 28, with overnight radiative cooling under light northerly or variable winds expected to produce a minimum near 9–12°C. Current dew points around 9–11°C and low precipitation chances limit extreme drops, while partial cloud cover and light mixing prevent deeper cooling. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly on 9–10°C outcomes, reflecting minor model spread in exact cloud timing and wind speed that could shift the low by 1–2°C; historical August 28 averages near 11°C provide context but recent cooling trends support the lower range. Updated model runs overnight will likely refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$312End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and global models indicate partly cloudy to variable conditions for Moscow on August 28, with overnight radiative cooling under light northerly or variable winds expected to produce a minimum near 9–12°C. Current dew points around 9–11°C and low precipitation chances limit extreme drops, while partial cloud cover and light mixing prevent deeper cooling. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly on 9–10°C outcomes, reflecting minor model spread in exact cloud timing and wind speed that could shift the low by 1–2°C; historical August 28 averages near 11°C provide context but recent cooling trends support the lower range. Updated model runs overnight will likely refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$312End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and global models indicate partly cloudy to variable conditions for Moscow on August 28, with overnight radiative cooling under light northerly or variable winds expected to produce a minimum near 9–12°C. Current dew points around 9–11°C and low precipitation chances limit extreme drops, while partial cloud cover and light mixing prevent deeper cooling. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly on 9–10°C outcomes, reflecting minor model spread in exact cloud timing and wind speed that could shift the low by 1–2°C; historical August 28 averages near 11°C provide context but recent cooling trends support the lower range. Updated model runs overnight will likely refine these thresholds before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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