Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a minimum temperature in the Incheon area of 22–24°C on August 30, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain chances, and high humidity that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. With dew points near 19–22°C and light variable winds, heat retention prevents sharper drops below 22°C, while model consensus on modest daytime heating to 26–28°C supports the tight clustering around 23–24°C. Minor divergences arise from ensemble differences in cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing, which could nudge the overnight low by 1°C depending on exact steering patterns and any brief clear spells. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow uncertainty band two days out, with official guidance emphasizing stable late-summer marine influence over the region.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 30?
23°C 40%
24°C 37%
22°C 13%
25°C 11%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
6%
22°C
13%
23°C
40%
24°C
37%
25°C
11%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
23°C 40%
24°C 37%
22°C 13%
25°C 11%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
6%
22°C
13%
23°C
40%
24°C
37%
25°C
11%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a minimum temperature in the Incheon area of 22–24°C on August 30, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain chances, and high humidity that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. With dew points near 19–22°C and light variable winds, heat retention prevents sharper drops below 22°C, while model consensus on modest daytime heating to 26–28°C supports the tight clustering around 23–24°C. Minor divergences arise from ensemble differences in cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing, which could nudge the overnight low by 1°C depending on exact steering patterns and any brief clear spells. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow uncertainty band two days out, with official guidance emphasizing stable late-summer marine influence over the region.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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