Wellington Fagundes (PL) leads trader pricing at 62% for the October 4, 2026 first-round Mato Grosso gubernatorial election, ahead of incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) at 38.5%, with remaining candidates below 1%. Recent polls show a tight contest: Quaest (Aug 21–24) gives Fagundes 27% to Pivetta’s 23%, while Paraná Pesquisas (Aug 21–23) finds Pivetta at 39% and Fagundes at 35%, both within margins of error amid 29–8% undecided or blank/null responses. Pivetta assumed the governorship in March 2026 after Mauro Mendes resigned for a Senate bid and secured União Brasil backing; Fagundes, a longtime senator with PL and bolsonarista support, opened campaign activities emphasizing municipal outreach and infrastructure. High rejection ratings for Fagundes and early-stage volatility sustain the market’s emphasis on the two frontrunners.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWellington Fagundes 62%
Otaviano Pivetta 38%
Mauricio Coelho <1%
Doutora Natasha <1%
$17,661 Vol.
$17,661 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Wellington Fagundes
62%
Otaviano Pivetta
35%
Mauricio Coelho
<1%
Doutora Natasha
<1%
Sargento Laudicério
<1%
Rafaell Milas
<1%
Wellington Fagundes 62%
Otaviano Pivetta 38%
Mauricio Coelho <1%
Doutora Natasha <1%
$17,661 Vol.
$17,661 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Wellington Fagundes
$11,085 Vol.
62%
Otaviano Pivetta
$3,120 Vol.
35%
Mauricio Coelho
$916 Vol.
<1%
Doutora Natasha
$981 Vol.
<1%
Sargento Laudicério
$689 Vol.
<1%
Rafaell Milas
$870 Vol.
<1%
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Wellington Fagundes (PL) leads trader pricing at 62% for the October 4, 2026 first-round Mato Grosso gubernatorial election, ahead of incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) at 38.5%, with remaining candidates below 1%. Recent polls show a tight contest: Quaest (Aug 21–24) gives Fagundes 27% to Pivetta’s 23%, while Paraná Pesquisas (Aug 21–23) finds Pivetta at 39% and Fagundes at 35%, both within margins of error amid 29–8% undecided or blank/null responses. Pivetta assumed the governorship in March 2026 after Mauro Mendes resigned for a Senate bid and secured União Brasil backing; Fagundes, a longtime senator with PL and bolsonarista support, opened campaign activities emphasizing municipal outreach and infrastructure. High rejection ratings for Fagundes and early-stage volatility sustain the market’s emphasis on the two frontrunners.
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET
Volume
$17,661End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Wellington Fagundes (PL) leads trader pricing at 62% for the October 4, 2026 first-round Mato Grosso gubernatorial election, ahead of incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) at 38.5%, with remaining candidates below 1%. Recent polls show a tight contest: Quaest (Aug 21–24) gives Fagundes 27% to Pivetta’s 23%, while Paraná Pesquisas (Aug 21–23) finds Pivetta at 39% and Fagundes at 35%, both within margins of error amid 29–8% undecided or blank/null responses. Pivetta assumed the governorship in March 2026 after Mauro Mendes resigned for a Senate bid and secured União Brasil backing; Fagundes, a longtime senator with PL and bolsonarista support, opened campaign activities emphasizing municipal outreach and infrastructure. High rejection ratings for Fagundes and early-stage volatility sustain the market’s emphasis on the two frontrunners.
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$17,661End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wellington Fagundes (PL) leads trader pricing at 62% for the October 4, 2026 first-round Mato Grosso gubernatorial election, ahead of incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) at 38.5%, with remaining candidates below 1%. Recent polls show a tight contest: Quaest (Aug 21–24) gives Fagundes 27% to Pivetta’s 23%, while Paraná Pesquisas (Aug 21–23) finds Pivetta at 39% and Fagundes at 35%, both within margins of error amid 29–8% undecided or blank/null responses. Pivetta assumed the governorship in March 2026 after Mauro Mendes resigned for a Senate bid and secured União Brasil backing; Fagundes, a longtime senator with PL and bolsonarista support, opened campaign activities emphasizing municipal outreach and infrastructure. High rejection ratings for Fagundes and early-stage volatility sustain the market’s emphasis on the two frontrunners.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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