Recent polls from late August 2026 show a tight, fragmented race for Paraná's Senate seats, with Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), Filipe Barros (PL), and Deltan Dallagnol (Novo) clustered in single digits to low teens amid 28%+ undecided voters and technical ties within margins of error. Curi edges some consolidated estimates while Dallagnol leads others, reflecting voter indecision and split preferences across first- and second-choice ballots. Dallagnol's early-August party convention launch and favorable mid-August Ministry of Public Prosecution opinion on eligibility have sustained his position alongside Curi's established base as state assembly president. High abstention rates and the two-seat structure sustain balanced trader pricing near 40% for the top pair, with separation likely hinging on turnout shifts or final registration outcomes before October voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAlexandre Curi 40%
Deltan Dallagnol 38%
Filipe Barros 14%
Cristina Reis Graeml 4.5%
$18,072 Vol.
$18,072 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Alexandre Curi
40%
Deltan Dallagnol
38%
Filipe Barros
14%
Cristina Reis Graeml
5%
Marcelo Marcelino
4%
Gleisi
4%
Joaquim do MLB
3%
Karen Guerreiro
3%
Dr. Rosinha
1%
Alexandre Curi 40%
Deltan Dallagnol 38%
Filipe Barros 14%
Cristina Reis Graeml 4.5%
$18,072 Vol.
$18,072 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Alexandre Curi
$2,268 Vol.
40%
Deltan Dallagnol
$12,216 Vol.
38%
Filipe Barros
$1,825 Vol.
14%
Cristina Reis Graeml
$194 Vol.
5%
Marcelo Marcelino
$384 Vol.
4%
Gleisi
$449 Vol.
4%
Joaquim do MLB
$219 Vol.
3%
Karen Guerreiro
$329 Vol.
3%
Dr. Rosinha
$188 Vol.
1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from late August 2026 show a tight, fragmented race for Paraná's Senate seats, with Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), Filipe Barros (PL), and Deltan Dallagnol (Novo) clustered in single digits to low teens amid 28%+ undecided voters and technical ties within margins of error. Curi edges some consolidated estimates while Dallagnol leads others, reflecting voter indecision and split preferences across first- and second-choice ballots. Dallagnol's early-August party convention launch and favorable mid-August Ministry of Public Prosecution opinion on eligibility have sustained his position alongside Curi's established base as state assembly president. High abstention rates and the two-seat structure sustain balanced trader pricing near 40% for the top pair, with separation likely hinging on turnout shifts or final registration outcomes before October voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
Volume
$18,072End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from late August 2026 show a tight, fragmented race for Paraná's Senate seats, with Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), Filipe Barros (PL), and Deltan Dallagnol (Novo) clustered in single digits to low teens amid 28%+ undecided voters and technical ties within margins of error. Curi edges some consolidated estimates while Dallagnol leads others, reflecting voter indecision and split preferences across first- and second-choice ballots. Dallagnol's early-August party convention launch and favorable mid-August Ministry of Public Prosecution opinion on eligibility have sustained his position alongside Curi's established base as state assembly president. High abstention rates and the two-seat structure sustain balanced trader pricing near 40% for the top pair, with separation likely hinging on turnout shifts or final registration outcomes before October voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$18,072End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from late August 2026 show a tight, fragmented race for Paraná's Senate seats, with Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), Filipe Barros (PL), and Deltan Dallagnol (Novo) clustered in single digits to low teens amid 28%+ undecided voters and technical ties within margins of error. Curi edges some consolidated estimates while Dallagnol leads others, reflecting voter indecision and split preferences across first- and second-choice ballots. Dallagnol's early-August party convention launch and favorable mid-August Ministry of Public Prosecution opinion on eligibility have sustained his position alongside Curi's established base as state assembly president. High abstention rates and the two-seat structure sustain balanced trader pricing near 40% for the top pair, with separation likely hinging on turnout shifts or final registration outcomes before October voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions