Styvenson Valentim leads trader consensus for first place in the Rio Grande do Norte Senate race at 66.5% implied probability, reflecting his consistent polling advantage in first-preference votes across recent surveys. As an incumbent seeking reelection, Valentim registers 26-35% support in estimulada polling from Quaest and Consult in late August, well ahead of Zenaide Maia at roughly 10-13%. The second seat remains more contested among challengers including Coronel Hélio, Samanda de Lula, and Rafael Motta, keeping their probabilities for overall first place near or below 50%. High undecided rates around 24% and blank/null shares near 23% in the latest data underscore the race's early-stage fluidity ahead of October voting, though Valentim's name recognition and opposition positioning have anchored his lead in successive rounds since May.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedStyvenson Valentim 67%
Zenaide Maia 15.7%
Samanda de Lula <1%
Professor Guilherme <1%
$18,996 Vol.
$18,996 Vol.
Styvenson Valentim
67%
Zenaide Maia
16%
Samanda de Lula
6%
Professor Guilherme
<1%
Luciana Mandu
<1%
Coronel Hélio
<1%
Linhares Jiboia
<1%
Gari Wendell Batista
<1%
Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós
<1%
Rafael Motta
<1%
Rosália Fernandes
<1%
Sandro Pimentel
<1%
Sonia Godeiro
<1%
Tércio Tinôco
<1%
Styvenson Valentim 67%
Zenaide Maia 15.7%
Samanda de Lula <1%
Professor Guilherme <1%
$18,996 Vol.
$18,996 Vol.
Styvenson Valentim
67%
Zenaide Maia
16%
Samanda de Lula
6%
Professor Guilherme
<1%
Luciana Mandu
<1%
Coronel Hélio
<1%
Linhares Jiboia
<1%
Gari Wendell Batista
<1%
Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós
<1%
Rafael Motta
<1%
Rosália Fernandes
<1%
Sandro Pimentel
<1%
Sonia Godeiro
<1%
Tércio Tinôco
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Styvenson Valentim leads trader consensus for first place in the Rio Grande do Norte Senate race at 66.5% implied probability, reflecting his consistent polling advantage in first-preference votes across recent surveys. As an incumbent seeking reelection, Valentim registers 26-35% support in estimulada polling from Quaest and Consult in late August, well ahead of Zenaide Maia at roughly 10-13%. The second seat remains more contested among challengers including Coronel Hélio, Samanda de Lula, and Rafael Motta, keeping their probabilities for overall first place near or below 50%. High undecided rates around 24% and blank/null shares near 23% in the latest data underscore the race's early-stage fluidity ahead of October voting, though Valentim's name recognition and opposition positioning have anchored his lead in successive rounds since May.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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