Recent polling shows a fragmented contest for the second Senate seat in Rio Grande do Norte, with Styvenson Valentim (PODEMOS) leading first-preference votes while Zenaide Maia (PSD), Samanda de Lula (PT), Rafael Motta (PDT), and Coronel Hélio (PL) remain tightly clustered behind. High undecided and blank/null shares (often 20-30%) sustain volatility, as voters weigh incumbency records, party coalitions, and positioning around Lula-aligned versus opposition bases. Coronel Hélio has gained ground in second-preference scenarios, while left-leaning candidates compete for overlapping support. The October 4 first-round vote and ongoing campaign messaging on alliances could shift second-place probabilities ahead of final tallies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSamanda de Lula 33%
Styvenson Valentim 23.1%
Zenaide Maia 22%
Rafael Motta 10.7%
$11,287 Vol.
$11,287 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Samanda de Lula
33%
Styvenson Valentim
23%
Zenaide Maia
30%
Rafael Motta
11%
Luciana Mandu
6%
Coronel Hélio
4%
Rosália Fernandes
1%
Professor Guilherme
1%
Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós
1%
Tércio Tinôco
<1%
Gari Wendell Batista
<1%
Linhares Jiboia
<1%
Sandro Pimentel
<1%
Sonia Godeiro
<1%
Samanda de Lula 33%
Styvenson Valentim 23.1%
Zenaide Maia 22%
Rafael Motta 10.7%
$11,287 Vol.
$11,287 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Samanda de Lula
$3,381 Vol.
33%
Styvenson Valentim
$1,304 Vol.
23%
Zenaide Maia
$2,062 Vol.
30%
Rafael Motta
$688 Vol.
11%
Luciana Mandu
$428 Vol.
6%
Coronel Hélio
$362 Vol.
4%
Rosália Fernandes
$477 Vol.
1%
Professor Guilherme
$315 Vol.
1%
Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós
$378 Vol.
1%
Tércio Tinôco
$457 Vol.
<1%
Gari Wendell Batista
$406 Vol.
<1%
Linhares Jiboia
$377 Vol.
<1%
Sandro Pimentel
$347 Vol.
<1%
Sonia Godeiro
$307 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling shows a fragmented contest for the second Senate seat in Rio Grande do Norte, with Styvenson Valentim (PODEMOS) leading first-preference votes while Zenaide Maia (PSD), Samanda de Lula (PT), Rafael Motta (PDT), and Coronel Hélio (PL) remain tightly clustered behind. High undecided and blank/null shares (often 20-30%) sustain volatility, as voters weigh incumbency records, party coalitions, and positioning around Lula-aligned versus opposition bases. Coronel Hélio has gained ground in second-preference scenarios, while left-leaning candidates compete for overlapping support. The October 4 first-round vote and ongoing campaign messaging on alliances could shift second-place probabilities ahead of final tallies.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
Volume
$11,287End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling shows a fragmented contest for the second Senate seat in Rio Grande do Norte, with Styvenson Valentim (PODEMOS) leading first-preference votes while Zenaide Maia (PSD), Samanda de Lula (PT), Rafael Motta (PDT), and Coronel Hélio (PL) remain tightly clustered behind. High undecided and blank/null shares (often 20-30%) sustain volatility, as voters weigh incumbency records, party coalitions, and positioning around Lula-aligned versus opposition bases. Coronel Hélio has gained ground in second-preference scenarios, while left-leaning candidates compete for overlapping support. The October 4 first-round vote and ongoing campaign messaging on alliances could shift second-place probabilities ahead of final tallies.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$11,287End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows a fragmented contest for the second Senate seat in Rio Grande do Norte, with Styvenson Valentim (PODEMOS) leading first-preference votes while Zenaide Maia (PSD), Samanda de Lula (PT), Rafael Motta (PDT), and Coronel Hélio (PL) remain tightly clustered behind. High undecided and blank/null shares (often 20-30%) sustain volatility, as voters weigh incumbency records, party coalitions, and positioning around Lula-aligned versus opposition bases. Coronel Hélio has gained ground in second-preference scenarios, while left-leaning candidates compete for overlapping support. The October 4 first-round vote and ongoing campaign messaging on alliances could shift second-place probabilities ahead of final tallies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions