The Roraima Senate race for two seats on October 4 features 13 registered candidates in a fragmented field, with trader pricing reflecting Helio Bolsonaro (PL) as the frontrunner for second place ahead of incumbent Chico Rodrigues (PSB) and Teresa Surita (MDB). Recent candidacy filings closed in mid-August, and limited polling shows a competitive multi-candidate environment where party strength, name recognition, and regional alliances shape positioning. The tight contest for second stems from voter indecision, overlapping support bases among PL-linked names, and the absence of dominant polling leads that would clarify separation. Upcoming surveys, endorsements, or campaign developments in the final weeks could consolidate preferences and shift probabilities among the top contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHelio Bolsonaro 31.8%
Chico Rodrigues 23%
Teresa Surita 16%
Nicoletti 9.1%
$22,787 Vol.
$22,787 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Helio Bolsonaro
32%
Chico Rodrigues
23%
Teresa Surita
16%
Nicoletti
9%
Mario Rocha
2%
Helena da Asatur
1%
Pastor Isamar
1%
Bartô Macuxi
1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
<1%
Rogério Miranda
<1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Helio Bolsonaro 31.8%
Chico Rodrigues 23%
Teresa Surita 16%
Nicoletti 9.1%
$22,787 Vol.
$22,787 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Helio Bolsonaro
$6,017 Vol.
32%
Chico Rodrigues
$3,759 Vol.
23%
Teresa Surita
$6,167 Vol.
16%
Nicoletti
$3,856 Vol.
9%
Mario Rocha
$303 Vol.
2%
Helena da Asatur
$350 Vol.
1%
Pastor Isamar
$445 Vol.
1%
Bartô Macuxi
$323 Vol.
1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$311 Vol.
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
$312 Vol.
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
$325 Vol.
<1%
Rogério Miranda
$325 Vol.
<1%
Hilton Xavier
$292 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Roraima Senate race for two seats on October 4 features 13 registered candidates in a fragmented field, with trader pricing reflecting Helio Bolsonaro (PL) as the frontrunner for second place ahead of incumbent Chico Rodrigues (PSB) and Teresa Surita (MDB). Recent candidacy filings closed in mid-August, and limited polling shows a competitive multi-candidate environment where party strength, name recognition, and regional alliances shape positioning. The tight contest for second stems from voter indecision, overlapping support bases among PL-linked names, and the absence of dominant polling leads that would clarify separation. Upcoming surveys, endorsements, or campaign developments in the final weeks could consolidate preferences and shift probabilities among the top contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
Volume
$22,787End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Roraima Senate race for two seats on October 4 features 13 registered candidates in a fragmented field, with trader pricing reflecting Helio Bolsonaro (PL) as the frontrunner for second place ahead of incumbent Chico Rodrigues (PSB) and Teresa Surita (MDB). Recent candidacy filings closed in mid-August, and limited polling shows a competitive multi-candidate environment where party strength, name recognition, and regional alliances shape positioning. The tight contest for second stems from voter indecision, overlapping support bases among PL-linked names, and the absence of dominant polling leads that would clarify separation. Upcoming surveys, endorsements, or campaign developments in the final weeks could consolidate preferences and shift probabilities among the top contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$22,787End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Roraima Senate race for two seats on October 4 features 13 registered candidates in a fragmented field, with trader pricing reflecting Helio Bolsonaro (PL) as the frontrunner for second place ahead of incumbent Chico Rodrigues (PSB) and Teresa Surita (MDB). Recent candidacy filings closed in mid-August, and limited polling shows a competitive multi-candidate environment where party strength, name recognition, and regional alliances shape positioning. The tight contest for second stems from voter indecision, overlapping support bases among PL-linked names, and the absence of dominant polling leads that would clarify separation. Upcoming surveys, endorsements, or campaign developments in the final weeks could consolidate preferences and shift probabilities among the top contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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