Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the strongest position for second place in the October 4 Roraima Senate election, consistent with her 19% share in the late-August Quaest survey that placed her narrowly ahead of Nicoletti (PL) and Helena da Asatur (PSD) amid a fragmented field of 13 candidates. High undecided rates—17% in stimulated responses and 67% spontaneous—keep the contest tight, as voters weigh Surita’s record as five-time Boa Vista mayor and former federal deputy against competitors’ legislative or local profiles. The two-seat structure rewards broad name recognition and coalition support, with recent campaign launches and asset disclosures reinforcing Surita’s visibility while leaving room for shifts among trailing contenders before voting begins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTeresa Surita 54%
Nicoletti 23.1%
Helena da Asatur 17.0%
Helio Bolsonaro 5.3%
$37,304 Vol.
$37,304 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Teresa Surita
54%
Nicoletti
23%
Helena da Asatur
17%
Helio Bolsonaro
5%
Chico Rodrigues
5%
Pastor Isamar
1%
Mario Rocha
1%
Bartô Macuxi
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
<1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
<1%
Rogério Miranda
<1%
Teresa Surita 54%
Nicoletti 23.1%
Helena da Asatur 17.0%
Helio Bolsonaro 5.3%
$37,304 Vol.
$37,304 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Teresa Surita
$10,067 Vol.
54%
Nicoletti
$5,147 Vol.
23%
Helena da Asatur
$1,505 Vol.
17%
Helio Bolsonaro
$6,738 Vol.
5%
Chico Rodrigues
$9,530 Vol.
5%
Pastor Isamar
$725 Vol.
1%
Mario Rocha
$483 Vol.
1%
Bartô Macuxi
$503 Vol.
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
$598 Vol.
<1%
Hilton Xavier
$507 Vol.
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$491 Vol.
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
$505 Vol.
<1%
Rogério Miranda
$505 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the strongest position for second place in the October 4 Roraima Senate election, consistent with her 19% share in the late-August Quaest survey that placed her narrowly ahead of Nicoletti (PL) and Helena da Asatur (PSD) amid a fragmented field of 13 candidates. High undecided rates—17% in stimulated responses and 67% spontaneous—keep the contest tight, as voters weigh Surita’s record as five-time Boa Vista mayor and former federal deputy against competitors’ legislative or local profiles. The two-seat structure rewards broad name recognition and coalition support, with recent campaign launches and asset disclosures reinforcing Surita’s visibility while leaving room for shifts among trailing contenders before voting begins.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
Volume
$37,304End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the strongest position for second place in the October 4 Roraima Senate election, consistent with her 19% share in the late-August Quaest survey that placed her narrowly ahead of Nicoletti (PL) and Helena da Asatur (PSD) amid a fragmented field of 13 candidates. High undecided rates—17% in stimulated responses and 67% spontaneous—keep the contest tight, as voters weigh Surita’s record as five-time Boa Vista mayor and former federal deputy against competitors’ legislative or local profiles. The two-seat structure rewards broad name recognition and coalition support, with recent campaign launches and asset disclosures reinforcing Surita’s visibility while leaving room for shifts among trailing contenders before voting begins.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$37,304End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the strongest position for second place in the October 4 Roraima Senate election, consistent with her 19% share in the late-August Quaest survey that placed her narrowly ahead of Nicoletti (PL) and Helena da Asatur (PSD) amid a fragmented field of 13 candidates. High undecided rates—17% in stimulated responses and 67% spontaneous—keep the contest tight, as voters weigh Surita’s record as five-time Boa Vista mayor and former federal deputy against competitors’ legislative or local profiles. The two-seat structure rewards broad name recognition and coalition support, with recent campaign launches and asset disclosures reinforcing Surita’s visibility while leaving room for shifts among trailing contenders before voting begins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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