Recent Quaest polling from late August shows a tightly contested field for Roraima’s two Senate seats on October 4, with Teresa Surita (MDB) at 19%, Nicoletti (PL) at 17%, Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 16%, and Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11% in combined stimulated responses. Separate first- and second-place breakdowns remain within the margin of error, reflecting high undecided levels (17% stimulated, 67% spontaneous) and voter flexibility until election day. The competitive dynamics among these candidates, alongside smaller shares for figures like Hélio Bolsonaro, sustain balanced trader pricing on second-place outcomes. Further polls, candidate alliances, or late shifts in turnout among key blocs could alter positioning before voting concludes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTeresa Surita 31%
Nicoletti 15.0%
Helena da Asatur 14.9%
Chico Rodrigues 5.8%
$42,093 Vol.
$42,093 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Teresa Surita
39%
Nicoletti
21%
Helena da Asatur
15%
Chico Rodrigues
6%
Helio Bolsonaro
6%
Pastor Isamar
1%
Mario Rocha
1%
Bartô Macuxi
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
<1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
<1%
Rogério Miranda
<1%
Teresa Surita 31%
Nicoletti 15.0%
Helena da Asatur 14.9%
Chico Rodrigues 5.8%
$42,093 Vol.
$42,093 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Teresa Surita
$13,837 Vol.
39%
Nicoletti
$5,502 Vol.
21%
Helena da Asatur
$1,505 Vol.
15%
Chico Rodrigues
$10,193 Vol.
6%
Helio Bolsonaro
$6,738 Vol.
6%
Pastor Isamar
$725 Vol.
1%
Mario Rocha
$483 Vol.
1%
Bartô Macuxi
$503 Vol.
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
$598 Vol.
<1%
Hilton Xavier
$507 Vol.
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$491 Vol.
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
$505 Vol.
<1%
Rogério Miranda
$505 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Quaest polling from late August shows a tightly contested field for Roraima’s two Senate seats on October 4, with Teresa Surita (MDB) at 19%, Nicoletti (PL) at 17%, Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 16%, and Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11% in combined stimulated responses. Separate first- and second-place breakdowns remain within the margin of error, reflecting high undecided levels (17% stimulated, 67% spontaneous) and voter flexibility until election day. The competitive dynamics among these candidates, alongside smaller shares for figures like Hélio Bolsonaro, sustain balanced trader pricing on second-place outcomes. Further polls, candidate alliances, or late shifts in turnout among key blocs could alter positioning before voting concludes.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
Volume
$42,093End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Quaest polling from late August shows a tightly contested field for Roraima’s two Senate seats on October 4, with Teresa Surita (MDB) at 19%, Nicoletti (PL) at 17%, Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 16%, and Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11% in combined stimulated responses. Separate first- and second-place breakdowns remain within the margin of error, reflecting high undecided levels (17% stimulated, 67% spontaneous) and voter flexibility until election day. The competitive dynamics among these candidates, alongside smaller shares for figures like Hélio Bolsonaro, sustain balanced trader pricing on second-place outcomes. Further polls, candidate alliances, or late shifts in turnout among key blocs could alter positioning before voting concludes.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$42,093End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Quaest polling from late August shows a tightly contested field for Roraima’s two Senate seats on October 4, with Teresa Surita (MDB) at 19%, Nicoletti (PL) at 17%, Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 16%, and Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11% in combined stimulated responses. Separate first- and second-place breakdowns remain within the margin of error, reflecting high undecided levels (17% stimulated, 67% spontaneous) and voter flexibility until election day. The competitive dynamics among these candidates, alongside smaller shares for figures like Hélio Bolsonaro, sustain balanced trader pricing on second-place outcomes. Further polls, candidate alliances, or late shifts in turnout among key blocs could alter positioning before voting concludes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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