Recent polling in Amazonas shows Omar Aziz (PSD) leading first-round intentions at 26-34%, ahead of interim governor Roberto Cidade (União Brasil) at 18-22% and Professora Maria do Carmo (PL) at 16-21%, with David Almeida (Avante) close behind. Second-round simulations remain tight, with Aziz edging Cidade by 1-4 points inside margins of error amid 6-16% undecided voters. The competitive field, Aziz’s established name recognition from prior terms, and Cidade’s current institutional role sustain the narrow gap reflected in trader pricing. Late-campaign shifts in voter turnout, coalition endorsements, or state-specific economic issues could widen separation before the October vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOmar Aziz 53%
Roberto Cidade 41.0%
Professora Maria do Carmo 12%
David Almeida <1%
$12,601 Vol.
$12,601 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Omar Aziz
53%
Roberto Cidade
41%
Professora Maria do Carmo
12%
David Almeida
<1%
Gilberto Vasconcelos
<1%
Cabo Daciolo
<1%
Isael Munduruku
<1%
Omar Aziz 53%
Roberto Cidade 41.0%
Professora Maria do Carmo 12%
David Almeida <1%
$12,601 Vol.
$12,601 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Omar Aziz
$5,096 Vol.
53%
Roberto Cidade
$2,285 Vol.
41%
Professora Maria do Carmo
$2,312 Vol.
12%
David Almeida
$1,053 Vol.
<1%
Gilberto Vasconcelos
$764 Vol.
<1%
Cabo Daciolo
$523 Vol.
<1%
Isael Munduruku
$569 Vol.
<1%
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Amazonas shows Omar Aziz (PSD) leading first-round intentions at 26-34%, ahead of interim governor Roberto Cidade (União Brasil) at 18-22% and Professora Maria do Carmo (PL) at 16-21%, with David Almeida (Avante) close behind. Second-round simulations remain tight, with Aziz edging Cidade by 1-4 points inside margins of error amid 6-16% undecided voters. The competitive field, Aziz’s established name recognition from prior terms, and Cidade’s current institutional role sustain the narrow gap reflected in trader pricing. Late-campaign shifts in voter turnout, coalition endorsements, or state-specific economic issues could widen separation before the October vote.
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET
Volume
$12,601End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Amazonas shows Omar Aziz (PSD) leading first-round intentions at 26-34%, ahead of interim governor Roberto Cidade (União Brasil) at 18-22% and Professora Maria do Carmo (PL) at 16-21%, with David Almeida (Avante) close behind. Second-round simulations remain tight, with Aziz edging Cidade by 1-4 points inside margins of error amid 6-16% undecided voters. The competitive field, Aziz’s established name recognition from prior terms, and Cidade’s current institutional role sustain the narrow gap reflected in trader pricing. Late-campaign shifts in voter turnout, coalition endorsements, or state-specific economic issues could widen separation before the October vote.
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$12,601End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Amazonas shows Omar Aziz (PSD) leading first-round intentions at 26-34%, ahead of interim governor Roberto Cidade (União Brasil) at 18-22% and Professora Maria do Carmo (PL) at 16-21%, with David Almeida (Avante) close behind. Second-round simulations remain tight, with Aziz edging Cidade by 1-4 points inside margins of error amid 6-16% undecided voters. The competitive field, Aziz’s established name recognition from prior terms, and Cidade’s current institutional role sustain the narrow gap reflected in trader pricing. Late-campaign shifts in voter turnout, coalition endorsements, or state-specific economic issues could widen separation before the October vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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