Recent polling in late August 2026 shows Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) leading intentions for one Amazonas Senate seat, while the contest for second place remains tightly contested among Wilson Lima (União Brasil), Eduardo Braga (MDB), and Plínio Valério (PSDB). Surveys from Real Time Big Data and Quaest place these three candidates within the margin of error for the second vacancy, with combined or separate vote scenarios reflecting voter indecision and regional variations. This fragmentation and technical ties sustain elevated implied probabilities near 50% across multiple contenders in trader consensus, as no single candidate has established a durable advantage. Upcoming campaign events and further surveys could clarify preferences before the October election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCapitão Alberto Neto 50%
Wilson Lima 32%
Eduardo Braga 12.8%
Plinio Valério 7.4%
$11,354 Vol.
$11,354 Vol.

Capitão Alberto Neto
50%

Wilson Lima
32%

Eduardo Braga
13%

Plinio Valério
7%

Xuxa do Amazonas
<1%

Evandro de Oliveira
<1%

Dailson Corrêa
<1%

Ismael Munduruku
<1%

Professora Evany
<1%
Capitão Alberto Neto 50%
Wilson Lima 32%
Eduardo Braga 12.8%
Plinio Valério 7.4%
$11,354 Vol.
$11,354 Vol.

Capitão Alberto Neto
50%

Wilson Lima
32%

Eduardo Braga
13%

Plinio Valério
7%

Xuxa do Amazonas
<1%

Evandro de Oliveira
<1%

Dailson Corrêa
<1%

Ismael Munduruku
<1%

Professora Evany
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:52 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in late August 2026 shows Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) leading intentions for one Amazonas Senate seat, while the contest for second place remains tightly contested among Wilson Lima (União Brasil), Eduardo Braga (MDB), and Plínio Valério (PSDB). Surveys from Real Time Big Data and Quaest place these three candidates within the margin of error for the second vacancy, with combined or separate vote scenarios reflecting voter indecision and regional variations. This fragmentation and technical ties sustain elevated implied probabilities near 50% across multiple contenders in trader consensus, as no single candidate has established a durable advantage. Upcoming campaign events and further surveys could clarify preferences before the October election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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