Recent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate overnight lows in Jinan stabilizing near 20–22°C on August 28, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and moderate northeast winds that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with late-August climatology for the region, where typical minima hover around 21–22°C absent strong cold advection. Market-implied odds reflect this model consensus and ongoing observations, with traders assigning near-certainty to a 20°C floor given the narrow forecast spread. A realistic shift would require unanticipated clear skies overnight or a sharper model revision, though current data show limited scope for such changes before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jinan on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Jinan on August 28?
20°C 100.0%
19°C 1.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
$1,874 Vol.
$1,874 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
20°C 100.0%
19°C 1.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
$1,874 Vol.
$1,874 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
12°C or below
$50 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$68 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$68 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$68 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$76 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$834 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$87 Vol.
1%
20°C
$189 Vol.
100%
21°C
$98 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$286 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate overnight lows in Jinan stabilizing near 20–22°C on August 28, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and moderate northeast winds that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with late-August climatology for the region, where typical minima hover around 21–22°C absent strong cold advection. Market-implied odds reflect this model consensus and ongoing observations, with traders assigning near-certainty to a 20°C floor given the narrow forecast spread. A realistic shift would require unanticipated clear skies overnight or a sharper model revision, though current data show limited scope for such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$1,874End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate overnight lows in Jinan stabilizing near 20–22°C on August 28, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and moderate northeast winds that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with late-August climatology for the region, where typical minima hover around 21–22°C absent strong cold advection. Market-implied odds reflect this model consensus and ongoing observations, with traders assigning near-certainty to a 20°C floor given the narrow forecast spread. A realistic shift would require unanticipated clear skies overnight or a sharper model revision, though current data show limited scope for such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,874End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate overnight lows in Jinan stabilizing near 20–22°C on August 28, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and moderate northeast winds that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with late-August climatology for the region, where typical minima hover around 21–22°C absent strong cold advection. Market-implied odds reflect this model consensus and ongoing observations, with traders assigning near-certainty to a 20°C floor given the narrow forecast spread. A realistic shift would require unanticipated clear skies overnight or a sharper model revision, though current data show limited scope for such changes before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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