Skip to main content
icon for Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 1st Place
Politics·Brazil

Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 1st Place

icon for Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 1st Place
Politics·Brazil

Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 1st Place

Styvenson Valentim 67%

Zenaide Maia 17.0%

Samanda de Lula 1.3%

Professor Guilherme <1%

Polymarket

$18,996 Vol.

Styvenson Valentim 67%

Zenaide Maia 17.0%

Samanda de Lula 1.3%

Professor Guilherme <1%

Polymarket

$18,996 Vol.

icon for Styvenson Valentim

Styvenson Valentim

$6,601 Vol.

67%

icon for Zenaide Maia

Zenaide Maia

$5,285 Vol.

17%

icon for Samanda de Lula

Samanda de Lula

$872 Vol.

1%

icon for Professor Guilherme

Professor Guilherme

$558 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luciana Mandu

Luciana Mandu

$528 Vol.

<1%

icon for Coronel Hélio

Coronel Hélio

$717 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gari Wendell Batista

Gari Wendell Batista

$558 Vol.

<1%

icon for Linhares Jiboia

Linhares Jiboia

$487 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós

Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós

$519 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rafael Motta

Rafael Motta

$640 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rosália Fernandes

Rosália Fernandes

$808 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sandro Pimentel

Sandro Pimentel

$443 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sonia Godeiro

Sonia Godeiro

$503 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tércio Tinôco

Tércio Tinôco

$474 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Styvenson Valentim maintains a consistent lead in recent polling for the top Senate spot in Rio Grande do Norte, with the most recent Consult survey (Aug 21-23) placing him at 35.53% on first-preference votes and 21% combined with second choices, well ahead of Zenaide Maia at 13.41% and 11.38% respectively. Quaest polling from Aug 20-23 similarly showed him at 26% for the first vacancy versus Maia's 11%. These trends reflect his incumbency advantage as a sitting senator seeking re-election, strong name recognition from prior law-enforcement visibility, and effective early campaign momentum following the official start on Aug 16. Maia, also an incumbent, trails in every major survey released since May, while other registered candidates such as Samanda de Lula, Rafael Motta, and Coronel Hélio register single-digit support or lower. With the Oct 4 vote roughly five weeks away and a large undecided segment (often 23-33%), traders price Valentim as the clear favorite for first place based on this polling trajectory.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$18,996
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Styvenson Valentim maintains a consistent lead in recent polling for the top Senate spot in Rio Grande do Norte, with the most recent Consult survey (Aug 21-23) placing him at 35.53% on first-preference votes and 21% combined with second choices, well ahead of Zenaide Maia at 13.41% and 11.38% respectively. Quaest polling from Aug 20-23 similarly showed him at 26% for the first vacancy versus Maia's 11%. These trends reflect his incumbency advantage as a sitting senator seeking re-election, strong name recognition from prior law-enforcement visibility, and effective early campaign momentum following the official start on Aug 16. Maia, also an incumbent, trails in every major survey released since May, while other registered candidates such as Samanda de Lula, Rafael Motta, and Coronel Hélio register single-digit support or lower. With the Oct 4 vote roughly five weeks away and a large undecided segment (often 23-33%), traders price Valentim as the clear favorite for first place based on this polling trajectory.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$18,996
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Related

icon for Will Samanda de Lula win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?

Will Samanda de Lula win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?

33%
icon for Will Manuela D'Ávila win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

Will Manuela D'Ávila win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

46%
icon for Will Marcel Van Hattem win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

Will Marcel Van Hattem win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

37%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 1st Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Styvenson Valentim" at 67%, followed by "Zenaide Maia" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 67¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 1st Place" has generated $19K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 1st Place," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 1st Place" is "Styvenson Valentim" at 67%, meaning the market assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Zenaide Maia" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 1st Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.