Recent polling from late August 2026 shows Eduardo Gomes (PL) leading the Tocantins Senate contest for the two seats, with Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) positioned as the primary challenger for second place amid a fragmented field that includes Gaguim (União), Vanderlei Luxemburgo (Podemos), Ronaldo Dimas (Podemos), Eli Borges (Republicanos), and Paulo Mourão (PT). High numbers of undecided voters and low spontaneous recognition keep the second slot competitive, as voters select two candidates and smaller shares can shift rankings. Latest surveys released within the past 48 hours reinforce Guimarães ahead of Gaguim numerically, though margins remain narrow and subject to further movement before the October 4 vote. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty around consolidation of support behind the top non-incumbent contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAlexandre Guimarães 41%
Gaguim 35.8%
Eduardo Gomes 19.7%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo 6%
$20,390 Vol.
$20,390 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Alexandre Guimarães
41%
Gaguim
36%
Eduardo Gomes
20%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
6%
Eli Borges
3%
Paulo Mourão
1%
Ronaldo Dimas
<1%
Nilton Santos
<1%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
<1%
Fábio Ribeiro
<1%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
<1%
Osvany Luz
<1%
Professor Osvaldo
<1%
Alexandre Guimarães 41%
Gaguim 35.8%
Eduardo Gomes 19.7%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo 6%
$20,390 Vol.
$20,390 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Alexandre Guimarães
$10,885 Vol.
41%
Gaguim
$2,429 Vol.
36%
Eduardo Gomes
$764 Vol.
20%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
$333 Vol.
6%
Eli Borges
$334 Vol.
3%
Paulo Mourão
$3,763 Vol.
1%
Ronaldo Dimas
$282 Vol.
<1%
Nilton Santos
$293 Vol.
<1%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
$243 Vol.
<1%
Fábio Ribeiro
$236 Vol.
<1%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
$265 Vol.
<1%
Osvany Luz
$325 Vol.
<1%
Professor Osvaldo
$240 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August 2026 shows Eduardo Gomes (PL) leading the Tocantins Senate contest for the two seats, with Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) positioned as the primary challenger for second place amid a fragmented field that includes Gaguim (União), Vanderlei Luxemburgo (Podemos), Ronaldo Dimas (Podemos), Eli Borges (Republicanos), and Paulo Mourão (PT). High numbers of undecided voters and low spontaneous recognition keep the second slot competitive, as voters select two candidates and smaller shares can shift rankings. Latest surveys released within the past 48 hours reinforce Guimarães ahead of Gaguim numerically, though margins remain narrow and subject to further movement before the October 4 vote. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty around consolidation of support behind the top non-incumbent contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Volume
$20,390End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August 2026 shows Eduardo Gomes (PL) leading the Tocantins Senate contest for the two seats, with Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) positioned as the primary challenger for second place amid a fragmented field that includes Gaguim (União), Vanderlei Luxemburgo (Podemos), Ronaldo Dimas (Podemos), Eli Borges (Republicanos), and Paulo Mourão (PT). High numbers of undecided voters and low spontaneous recognition keep the second slot competitive, as voters select two candidates and smaller shares can shift rankings. Latest surveys released within the past 48 hours reinforce Guimarães ahead of Gaguim numerically, though margins remain narrow and subject to further movement before the October 4 vote. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty around consolidation of support behind the top non-incumbent contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$20,390End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from late August 2026 shows Eduardo Gomes (PL) leading the Tocantins Senate contest for the two seats, with Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) positioned as the primary challenger for second place amid a fragmented field that includes Gaguim (União), Vanderlei Luxemburgo (Podemos), Ronaldo Dimas (Podemos), Eli Borges (Republicanos), and Paulo Mourão (PT). High numbers of undecided voters and low spontaneous recognition keep the second slot competitive, as voters select two candidates and smaller shares can shift rankings. Latest surveys released within the past 48 hours reinforce Guimarães ahead of Gaguim numerically, though margins remain narrow and subject to further movement before the October 4 vote. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty around consolidation of support behind the top non-incumbent contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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