Daniel Vilela (MDB), the incumbent governor of Goiás, holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the October 4, 2026, election due to his position as successor to Ronaldo Caiado and consistent polling strength. Recent surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data in late August show Vilela at 37-45% in the first round, ahead of Marconi Perillo (PSDB) and Wilder Morais (PL) by double-digit margins, with strong runoff projections. His broad coalition, including MDB, PSD, União Brasil, and others, formalized at the August convention, supports continuity with the prior administration. Low support for remaining candidates and limited time before voting reinforce the position, though shifts could arise from turnout changes or late developments in this first-past-the-post system with a potential second round.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDaniel Vilela 95.9%
Marconi Perillo 2.9%
Wilder Morais <1%
Adriana Accorsi <1%
$34,915 Vol.
$34,915 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Daniel Vilela
96%
Marconi Perillo
3%
Wilder Morais
1%
Adriana Accorsi
<1%
Vanderlan Cardoso
<1%
Daniel Vilela 95.9%
Marconi Perillo 2.9%
Wilder Morais <1%
Adriana Accorsi <1%
$34,915 Vol.
$34,915 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Daniel Vilela
$27,572 Vol.
96%
Marconi Perillo
$2,849 Vol.
3%
Wilder Morais
$1,743 Vol.
1%
Adriana Accorsi
$1,358 Vol.
<1%
Vanderlan Cardoso
$1,392 Vol.
<1%
The Goiás gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Daniel Vilela (MDB), the incumbent governor of Goiás, holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the October 4, 2026, election due to his position as successor to Ronaldo Caiado and consistent polling strength. Recent surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data in late August show Vilela at 37-45% in the first round, ahead of Marconi Perillo (PSDB) and Wilder Morais (PL) by double-digit margins, with strong runoff projections. His broad coalition, including MDB, PSD, União Brasil, and others, formalized at the August convention, supports continuity with the prior administration. Low support for remaining candidates and limited time before voting reinforce the position, though shifts could arise from turnout changes or late developments in this first-past-the-post system with a potential second round.
The Goiás gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
Volume
$34,915End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Goiás gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Daniel Vilela (MDB), the incumbent governor of Goiás, holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the October 4, 2026, election due to his position as successor to Ronaldo Caiado and consistent polling strength. Recent surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data in late August show Vilela at 37-45% in the first round, ahead of Marconi Perillo (PSDB) and Wilder Morais (PL) by double-digit margins, with strong runoff projections. His broad coalition, including MDB, PSD, União Brasil, and others, formalized at the August convention, supports continuity with the prior administration. Low support for remaining candidates and limited time before voting reinforce the position, though shifts could arise from turnout changes or late developments in this first-past-the-post system with a potential second round.
The Goiás gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$34,915End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Daniel Vilela (MDB), the incumbent governor of Goiás, holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the October 4, 2026, election due to his position as successor to Ronaldo Caiado and consistent polling strength. Recent surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data in late August show Vilela at 37-45% in the first round, ahead of Marconi Perillo (PSDB) and Wilder Morais (PL) by double-digit margins, with strong runoff projections. His broad coalition, including MDB, PSD, União Brasil, and others, formalized at the August convention, supports continuity with the prior administration. Low support for remaining candidates and limited time before voting reinforce the position, though shifts could arise from turnout changes or late developments in this first-past-the-post system with a potential second round.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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