**Gracinha Caiado (União Brasil) holds a clear lead in recent polling for first place in Goiás’s October 4, 2026 Senate race, consistent with her 71% market price.** As the former first lady and wife of ex-governor and presidential candidate Ronaldo Caiado, she benefits from strong statewide name recognition and party infrastructure. Late-August surveys by Quaest and Real Time Big Data placed her at 21–27% combined vote intention for the two Senate seats, ahead of Gustavo Gayer (PL) at 12–17% and a cluster of others including Vanderlan Cardoso (PSD), Zacharias Calil (MDB), and Gustavo Mendanha (PRD) in the single digits. High undecided shares and low spontaneous recall underscore the value of her visibility. Traders price the outcome as reflecting these polling trends and structural advantages heading into the final campaign stretch.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGracinha Caiado 70%
Gustavo Gayer 18%
Ernesto Roller 2.9%
Guilherme Darques 2.5%
$11,675 Vol.
$11,675 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Gracinha Caiado
70%
Gustavo Gayer
18%
Ernesto Roller
3%
Guilherme Darques
3%
Cintia Dias
1%
Dr. Zacharias Calil
1%
Vanderlan Cardoso
1%
Oséias Varão
<1%
Iure Castro
<1%
Gustavo Mendanha
<1%
Isaura Lemos
<1%
Gracinha Caiado 70%
Gustavo Gayer 18%
Ernesto Roller 2.9%
Guilherme Darques 2.5%
$11,675 Vol.
$11,675 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Gracinha Caiado
$9,048 Vol.
70%
Gustavo Gayer
$1,067 Vol.
18%
Ernesto Roller
$197 Vol.
3%
Guilherme Darques
$167 Vol.
3%
Cintia Dias
$137 Vol.
1%
Dr. Zacharias Calil
$137 Vol.
1%
Vanderlan Cardoso
$206 Vol.
1%
Oséias Varão
$167 Vol.
<1%
Iure Castro
$144 Vol.
<1%
Gustavo Mendanha
$158 Vol.
<1%
Isaura Lemos
$248 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Gracinha Caiado (União Brasil) holds a clear lead in recent polling for first place in Goiás’s October 4, 2026 Senate race, consistent with her 71% market price.** As the former first lady and wife of ex-governor and presidential candidate Ronaldo Caiado, she benefits from strong statewide name recognition and party infrastructure. Late-August surveys by Quaest and Real Time Big Data placed her at 21–27% combined vote intention for the two Senate seats, ahead of Gustavo Gayer (PL) at 12–17% and a cluster of others including Vanderlan Cardoso (PSD), Zacharias Calil (MDB), and Gustavo Mendanha (PRD) in the single digits. High undecided shares and low spontaneous recall underscore the value of her visibility. Traders price the outcome as reflecting these polling trends and structural advantages heading into the final campaign stretch.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ET
Volume
$11,675End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Gracinha Caiado (União Brasil) holds a clear lead in recent polling for first place in Goiás’s October 4, 2026 Senate race, consistent with her 71% market price.** As the former first lady and wife of ex-governor and presidential candidate Ronaldo Caiado, she benefits from strong statewide name recognition and party infrastructure. Late-August surveys by Quaest and Real Time Big Data placed her at 21–27% combined vote intention for the two Senate seats, ahead of Gustavo Gayer (PL) at 12–17% and a cluster of others including Vanderlan Cardoso (PSD), Zacharias Calil (MDB), and Gustavo Mendanha (PRD) in the single digits. High undecided shares and low spontaneous recall underscore the value of her visibility. Traders price the outcome as reflecting these polling trends and structural advantages heading into the final campaign stretch.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$11,675End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Gracinha Caiado (União Brasil) holds a clear lead in recent polling for first place in Goiás’s October 4, 2026 Senate race, consistent with her 71% market price.** As the former first lady and wife of ex-governor and presidential candidate Ronaldo Caiado, she benefits from strong statewide name recognition and party infrastructure. Late-August surveys by Quaest and Real Time Big Data placed her at 21–27% combined vote intention for the two Senate seats, ahead of Gustavo Gayer (PL) at 12–17% and a cluster of others including Vanderlan Cardoso (PSD), Zacharias Calil (MDB), and Gustavo Mendanha (PRD) in the single digits. High undecided shares and low spontaneous recall underscore the value of her visibility. Traders price the outcome as reflecting these polling trends and structural advantages heading into the final campaign stretch.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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