Eduardo Braide (PSD) holds the leading position in the Maranhão gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages, including a late-August Quaest survey showing him at 44% against Orleans Brandão (MDB) at 25% in the first round, with other registered candidates such as Felipe Camarão (PT) and Roberto Rocha (PRTB) in single digits. This margin aligns with trader consensus reflecting Braide’s stronger performance in prior surveys and his path toward a potential outright victory or favorable runoff on October 4. Brandão benefits from the MDB’s incumbency ties and the current governor’s 54% approval rating but trails in head-to-head scenarios. Low probabilities for remaining contenders stem from limited statewide support and fragmented opposition. Upcoming debates and final campaign weeks could influence undecided voters ahead of the vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEduardo Braide 72%
Orleans Brandão 30%
Felipe Camarão <1%
André Luís <1%
$70,091 Vol.
$70,091 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Eduardo Braide
72%
Orleans Brandão
30%
Felipe Camarão
1%
André Luís
<1%
Lahesio Bonfim
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
<1%
Eduardo Braide 72%
Orleans Brandão 30%
Felipe Camarão <1%
André Luís <1%
$70,091 Vol.
$70,091 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Eduardo Braide
$34,556 Vol.
72%
Orleans Brandão
$15,365 Vol.
30%
Felipe Camarão
$5,196 Vol.
1%
André Luís
$5,747 Vol.
<1%
Lahesio Bonfim
$4,303 Vol.
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
$4,924 Vol.
<1%
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braide (PSD) holds the leading position in the Maranhão gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages, including a late-August Quaest survey showing him at 44% against Orleans Brandão (MDB) at 25% in the first round, with other registered candidates such as Felipe Camarão (PT) and Roberto Rocha (PRTB) in single digits. This margin aligns with trader consensus reflecting Braide’s stronger performance in prior surveys and his path toward a potential outright victory or favorable runoff on October 4. Brandão benefits from the MDB’s incumbency ties and the current governor’s 54% approval rating but trails in head-to-head scenarios. Low probabilities for remaining contenders stem from limited statewide support and fragmented opposition. Upcoming debates and final campaign weeks could influence undecided voters ahead of the vote.
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ET
Volume
$70,091End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braide (PSD) holds the leading position in the Maranhão gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages, including a late-August Quaest survey showing him at 44% against Orleans Brandão (MDB) at 25% in the first round, with other registered candidates such as Felipe Camarão (PT) and Roberto Rocha (PRTB) in single digits. This margin aligns with trader consensus reflecting Braide’s stronger performance in prior surveys and his path toward a potential outright victory or favorable runoff on October 4. Brandão benefits from the MDB’s incumbency ties and the current governor’s 54% approval rating but trails in head-to-head scenarios. Low probabilities for remaining contenders stem from limited statewide support and fragmented opposition. Upcoming debates and final campaign weeks could influence undecided voters ahead of the vote.
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$70,091End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Braide (PSD) holds the leading position in the Maranhão gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages, including a late-August Quaest survey showing him at 44% against Orleans Brandão (MDB) at 25% in the first round, with other registered candidates such as Felipe Camarão (PT) and Roberto Rocha (PRTB) in single digits. This margin aligns with trader consensus reflecting Braide’s stronger performance in prior surveys and his path toward a potential outright victory or favorable runoff on October 4. Brandão benefits from the MDB’s incumbency ties and the current governor’s 54% approval rating but trails in head-to-head scenarios. Low probabilities for remaining contenders stem from limited statewide support and fragmented opposition. Upcoming debates and final campaign weeks could influence undecided voters ahead of the vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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