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Elections·Brazil

Maranhão Governor Election Winner

icon for Maranhão Governor Election Winner
Elections·Brazil

Maranhão Governor Election Winner

Eduardo Braide 72%

Orleans Brandão 30%

Felipe Camarão <1%

André Luís <1%

Polymarket

$70,151 Vol.

Eduardo Braide 72%

Orleans Brandão 30%

Felipe Camarão <1%

André Luís <1%

Polymarket

$70,151 Vol.

icon for Eduardo Braide

Eduardo Braide

$34,576 Vol.

72%

icon for Orleans Brandão

Orleans Brandão

$15,385 Vol.

30%

icon for Felipe Camarão

Felipe Camarão

$5,216 Vol.

1%

icon for André Luís

André Luís

$5,747 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lahesio Bonfim

Lahesio Bonfim

$4,303 Vol.

<1%

icon for Enilton Rodrigues

Enilton Rodrigues

$4,924 Vol.

<1%

The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braide (PSD) holds a strong lead in the Maranhão gubernatorial race, reflected in Polymarket pricing, after recent polling showed him at 44% in the first round against Orleans Brandão (MDB) at 25%. The latest Quaest survey, conducted August 20-23 among 900 voters, highlights Braide’s advantage stemming from his record as São Luís mayor and campaign focus on infrastructure, sanitation, and reducing municipal disparities through a proposed support program for local governments. Brandão, nephew of incumbent governor Carlos Brandão, benefits from 54% state administration approval but trails amid voter shifts documented in multiple August surveys. Minor candidates such as Felipe Camarão (PT) register single-digit support, with 17% undecided ahead of the October 4 vote. Traders appear to price Braide’s polling momentum and established name recognition as decisive factors.

The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$70,151
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braide (PSD) holds a strong lead in the Maranhão gubernatorial race, reflected in Polymarket pricing, after recent polling showed him at 44% in the first round against Orleans Brandão (MDB) at 25%. The latest Quaest survey, conducted August 20-23 among 900 voters, highlights Braide’s advantage stemming from his record as São Luís mayor and campaign focus on infrastructure, sanitation, and reducing municipal disparities through a proposed support program for local governments. Brandão, nephew of incumbent governor Carlos Brandão, benefits from 54% state administration approval but trails amid voter shifts documented in multiple August surveys. Minor candidates such as Felipe Camarão (PT) register single-digit support, with 17% undecided ahead of the October 4 vote. Traders appear to price Braide’s polling momentum and established name recognition as decisive factors.

The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$70,151
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Maranhão Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Eduardo Braide" at 72%, followed by "Orleans Brandão" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 72¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Maranhão Governor Election Winner" has generated $70.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Maranhão Governor Election Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Maranhão Governor Election Winner" is "Eduardo Braide" at 72%, meaning the market assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Orleans Brandão" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Maranhão Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.