João Azevêdo (PSB) holds an 82.5% implied probability for first place in the Paraíba Senate contest, far ahead of Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB) at 14% and other declared candidates below 6%. Recent August 2026 polling from Quaest and Real Time Big Data shows Azevêdo leading first-vote intentions with 38% and consolidated totals near 27-29%, driven by his profile as the just-resigned two-term governor and strong party coalition backing. Veneziano trails at 17-23% while seeking re-election, with Nabor Wanderley, Marcelo Queiroga, and others registering single digits amid high undecided and blank shares. The October 4 election features two seats, making the top individual tally decisive, and no late shifts have narrowed Azevêdo’s consistent margin in the final pre-campaign window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJoao Azevêdo 83%
Veneziano 13.6%
Nabor 5.7%
Adriano Trajano <1%
$12,797 Vol.
$12,797 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Joao Azevêdo
83%
Veneziano
14%
Nabor
6%
Adriano Trajano
<1%
André Gadelha
<1%
Dr. Marcelo Queiroga
<1%
João Batista
<1%
Rinaldo Júnior
<1%
Rosilene Santana
<1%
Major Fábio
<1%
Joao Azevêdo 83%
Veneziano 13.6%
Nabor 5.7%
Adriano Trajano <1%
$12,797 Vol.
$12,797 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Joao Azevêdo
$7,936 Vol.
83%
Veneziano
$1,802 Vol.
14%
Nabor
$498 Vol.
6%
Adriano Trajano
$417 Vol.
<1%
André Gadelha
$376 Vol.
<1%
Dr. Marcelo Queiroga
$287 Vol.
<1%
João Batista
$342 Vol.
<1%
Rinaldo Júnior
$347 Vol.
<1%
Rosilene Santana
$465 Vol.
<1%
Major Fábio
$328 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).João Azevêdo (PSB) holds an 82.5% implied probability for first place in the Paraíba Senate contest, far ahead of Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB) at 14% and other declared candidates below 6%. Recent August 2026 polling from Quaest and Real Time Big Data shows Azevêdo leading first-vote intentions with 38% and consolidated totals near 27-29%, driven by his profile as the just-resigned two-term governor and strong party coalition backing. Veneziano trails at 17-23% while seeking re-election, with Nabor Wanderley, Marcelo Queiroga, and others registering single digits amid high undecided and blank shares. The October 4 election features two seats, making the top individual tally decisive, and no late shifts have narrowed Azevêdo’s consistent margin in the final pre-campaign window.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Volume
$12,797End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).João Azevêdo (PSB) holds an 82.5% implied probability for first place in the Paraíba Senate contest, far ahead of Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB) at 14% and other declared candidates below 6%. Recent August 2026 polling from Quaest and Real Time Big Data shows Azevêdo leading first-vote intentions with 38% and consolidated totals near 27-29%, driven by his profile as the just-resigned two-term governor and strong party coalition backing. Veneziano trails at 17-23% while seeking re-election, with Nabor Wanderley, Marcelo Queiroga, and others registering single digits amid high undecided and blank shares. The October 4 election features two seats, making the top individual tally decisive, and no late shifts have narrowed Azevêdo’s consistent margin in the final pre-campaign window.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$12,797End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...João Azevêdo (PSB) holds an 82.5% implied probability for first place in the Paraíba Senate contest, far ahead of Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB) at 14% and other declared candidates below 6%. Recent August 2026 polling from Quaest and Real Time Big Data shows Azevêdo leading first-vote intentions with 38% and consolidated totals near 27-29%, driven by his profile as the just-resigned two-term governor and strong party coalition backing. Veneziano trails at 17-23% while seeking re-election, with Nabor Wanderley, Marcelo Queiroga, and others registering single digits amid high undecided and blank shares. The October 4 election features two seats, making the top individual tally decisive, and no late shifts have narrowed Azevêdo’s consistent margin in the final pre-campaign window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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