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Politics·Brazil

Rondônia Governor Election Winner

icon for Rondônia Governor Election Winner
Politics·Brazil

Rondônia Governor Election Winner

Marcos Rogério 74%

Adailton Furia 19.9%

Hildon Chaves 4.5%

Expedito Netto 2.3%

Polymarket
NEW

Marcos Rogério 74%

Adailton Furia 19.9%

Hildon Chaves 4.5%

Expedito Netto 2.3%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Marcos Rogério

Marcos Rogério

$4,791 Vol.

74%

icon for Adailton Furia

Adailton Furia

$1,280 Vol.

20%

icon for Hildon Chaves

Hildon Chaves

$756 Vol.

6%

icon for Expedito Netto

Expedito Netto

$750 Vol.

2%

icon for Pedro Abib

Pedro Abib

$904 Vol.

1%

icon for Samuel Costa

Samuel Costa

$413 Vol.

<1%

The Rondônia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marcos Rogério (PL) leads trader consensus in the Rondônia gubernatorial race due to his established profile as a sitting senator, strong bolsonarista alliances, and the state's right-leaning electorate, where term limits bar incumbent Marcos Rocha (PSD) from seeking re-election. A late-August Quaest poll showed him at 24% in the first round, statistically tied with Adailton Fúria (PSD) at 21%, amid 22% undecided voters and lower shares for Hildon Chaves, Expedito Netto, and others. Second-round simulations favor Rogério, while recent PSB internal interventions and TRE-RO proceedings have disrupted left-leaning coordination around Samuel Costa, limiting opposition consolidation ahead of the October 4 vote.

The Rondônia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$8,893
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rondônia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Rondônia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marcos Rogério (PL) leads trader consensus in the Rondônia gubernatorial race due to his established profile as a sitting senator, strong bolsonarista alliances, and the state's right-leaning electorate, where term limits bar incumbent Marcos Rocha (PSD) from seeking re-election. A late-August Quaest poll showed him at 24% in the first round, statistically tied with Adailton Fúria (PSD) at 21%, amid 22% undecided voters and lower shares for Hildon Chaves, Expedito Netto, and others. Second-round simulations favor Rogério, while recent PSB internal interventions and TRE-RO proceedings have disrupted left-leaning coordination around Samuel Costa, limiting opposition consolidation ahead of the October 4 vote.

The Rondônia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$8,893
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rondônia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Rondônia Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Marcos Rogério" at 74%, followed by "Adailton Furia" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 74¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Rondônia Governor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Rondônia Governor Election Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Rondônia Governor Election Winner" is "Marcos Rogério" at 74%, meaning the market assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Adailton Furia" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Rondônia Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.