Jorginho Mello (PL), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, holds a commanding lead in Santa Catarina's October 4, 2026, gubernatorial race, reflected in recent Quaest and Neokemp polls showing him at 50-52% against 17-22% for main challenger João Rodrigues (PSD). His position stems from strong approval ratings near 70% for his first term, a consolidated conservative voter base in the state, and backing from the Bolsonaro family, including support for allied Senate candidacies. Mello secured his PL nomination in early August with a broad coalition and vice candidate Adriano Silva (Novo). The state assembly's recent approval of his campaign leave further enables focused electioneering. While fragmented opposition and high undecided shares leave room for shifts, polls indicate a likely first-round outcome absent major late developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJorginho Mello 96.2%
João Rodrigues 2.4%
Marcelo Brigadeiro 1.3%
Décio Lima <1%
$116,131 Vol.
$116,131 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Jorginho Mello
96%
João Rodrigues
2%
Marcelo Brigadeiro
1%
Décio Lima
<1%
Afrânio Boppré
<1%
Marcos Vieira
<1%
Adriano Silva
<1%
Gelson Merisio
<1%
Jorginho Mello 96.2%
João Rodrigues 2.4%
Marcelo Brigadeiro 1.3%
Décio Lima <1%
$116,131 Vol.
$116,131 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Jorginho Mello
$27,234 Vol.
96%
João Rodrigues
$2,662 Vol.
2%
Marcelo Brigadeiro
$15,349 Vol.
1%
Décio Lima
$63,793 Vol.
<1%
Afrânio Boppré
$2,033 Vol.
<1%
Marcos Vieira
$1,706 Vol.
<1%
Adriano Silva
$1,496 Vol.
<1%
Gelson Merisio
$1,859 Vol.
<1%
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello (PL), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, holds a commanding lead in Santa Catarina's October 4, 2026, gubernatorial race, reflected in recent Quaest and Neokemp polls showing him at 50-52% against 17-22% for main challenger João Rodrigues (PSD). His position stems from strong approval ratings near 70% for his first term, a consolidated conservative voter base in the state, and backing from the Bolsonaro family, including support for allied Senate candidacies. Mello secured his PL nomination in early August with a broad coalition and vice candidate Adriano Silva (Novo). The state assembly's recent approval of his campaign leave further enables focused electioneering. While fragmented opposition and high undecided shares leave room for shifts, polls indicate a likely first-round outcome absent major late developments.
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
Volume
$116,131End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello (PL), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, holds a commanding lead in Santa Catarina's October 4, 2026, gubernatorial race, reflected in recent Quaest and Neokemp polls showing him at 50-52% against 17-22% for main challenger João Rodrigues (PSD). His position stems from strong approval ratings near 70% for his first term, a consolidated conservative voter base in the state, and backing from the Bolsonaro family, including support for allied Senate candidacies. Mello secured his PL nomination in early August with a broad coalition and vice candidate Adriano Silva (Novo). The state assembly's recent approval of his campaign leave further enables focused electioneering. While fragmented opposition and high undecided shares leave room for shifts, polls indicate a likely first-round outcome absent major late developments.
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$116,131End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jorginho Mello (PL), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, holds a commanding lead in Santa Catarina's October 4, 2026, gubernatorial race, reflected in recent Quaest and Neokemp polls showing him at 50-52% against 17-22% for main challenger João Rodrigues (PSD). His position stems from strong approval ratings near 70% for his first term, a consolidated conservative voter base in the state, and backing from the Bolsonaro family, including support for allied Senate candidacies. Mello secured his PL nomination in early August with a broad coalition and vice candidate Adriano Silva (Novo). The state assembly's recent approval of his campaign leave further enables focused electioneering. While fragmented opposition and high undecided shares leave room for shifts, polls indicate a likely first-round outcome absent major late developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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