Recent polling from late August shows a technical tie among the leading contenders for São Paulo’s two Senate seats, with Guilherme Derrite (PP), Marina Silva (Rede), and Simone Tebet (PSB) each registering 11-12% support amid 27% undecided voters and 18% intending to cast blank or null ballots. Derrite draws backing tied to Governor Tarcísio de Freitas, while Tebet and Silva align with the Fernando Haddad gubernatorial ticket. The fragmented field, voters’ ability to select two names, and limited name recognition for most of the 15 registered candidates sustain the close contest for first place. Further separation could emerge from additional surveys, campaign visibility in the final weeks before the October 4 vote, or shifts in coalition strategies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGuilherme Derrite 49%
Simone Tebet 22.6%
Marina Silva 11%
André do Prado 4.5%
$33,030 Vol.
$33,030 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Guilherme Derrite
49%
Simone Tebet
23%
Marina Silva
11%
André do Prado
5%
Salles
3%
William Teixeira
<1%
Soninha Francine
<1%
Weller Gonçalves
<1%
Maíra de Souza
<1%
Marcio Alves
<1%
Petter Maahs
<1%
Dra. Eliana Ferreira
<1%
Ednelson Cesaretti
<1%
Geraldo Rufino
<1%
Guilherme Derrite 49%
Simone Tebet 22.6%
Marina Silva 11%
André do Prado 4.5%
$33,030 Vol.
$33,030 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Guilherme Derrite
$18,839 Vol.
49%
Simone Tebet
$1,891 Vol.
23%
Marina Silva
$3,732 Vol.
11%
André do Prado
$2,277 Vol.
5%
Salles
$1,514 Vol.
3%
William Teixeira
$722 Vol.
<1%
Soninha Francine
$474 Vol.
<1%
Weller Gonçalves
$383 Vol.
<1%
Maíra de Souza
$396 Vol.
<1%
Marcio Alves
$552 Vol.
<1%
Petter Maahs
$419 Vol.
<1%
Dra. Eliana Ferreira
$613 Vol.
<1%
Ednelson Cesaretti
$737 Vol.
<1%
Geraldo Rufino
$480 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August shows a technical tie among the leading contenders for São Paulo’s two Senate seats, with Guilherme Derrite (PP), Marina Silva (Rede), and Simone Tebet (PSB) each registering 11-12% support amid 27% undecided voters and 18% intending to cast blank or null ballots. Derrite draws backing tied to Governor Tarcísio de Freitas, while Tebet and Silva align with the Fernando Haddad gubernatorial ticket. The fragmented field, voters’ ability to select two names, and limited name recognition for most of the 15 registered candidates sustain the close contest for first place. Further separation could emerge from additional surveys, campaign visibility in the final weeks before the October 4 vote, or shifts in coalition strategies.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
Volume
$33,030End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August shows a technical tie among the leading contenders for São Paulo’s two Senate seats, with Guilherme Derrite (PP), Marina Silva (Rede), and Simone Tebet (PSB) each registering 11-12% support amid 27% undecided voters and 18% intending to cast blank or null ballots. Derrite draws backing tied to Governor Tarcísio de Freitas, while Tebet and Silva align with the Fernando Haddad gubernatorial ticket. The fragmented field, voters’ ability to select two names, and limited name recognition for most of the 15 registered candidates sustain the close contest for first place. Further separation could emerge from additional surveys, campaign visibility in the final weeks before the October 4 vote, or shifts in coalition strategies.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$33,030End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from late August shows a technical tie among the leading contenders for São Paulo’s two Senate seats, with Guilherme Derrite (PP), Marina Silva (Rede), and Simone Tebet (PSB) each registering 11-12% support amid 27% undecided voters and 18% intending to cast blank or null ballots. Derrite draws backing tied to Governor Tarcísio de Freitas, while Tebet and Silva align with the Fernando Haddad gubernatorial ticket. The fragmented field, voters’ ability to select two names, and limited name recognition for most of the 15 registered candidates sustain the close contest for first place. Further separation could emerge from additional surveys, campaign visibility in the final weeks before the October 4 vote, or shifts in coalition strategies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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