**Recent forecasts and observations indicate a minimum temperature in Chengdu on August 28 likely between 24–26°C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity (often 70–90%) have limited overnight radiative cooling under the influence of regional monsoon patterns. Official meteorological summaries project a daily range of roughly 21–32°C or 24–33°C, with actual overnight lows constrained near 24–25°C amid ongoing precipitation. Current hourly data show temperatures holding above 25°C into the early morning hours, reducing the chance of sharper drops to 22°C or below. Traders appear to weight these near-term atmospheric conditions and model consensus more heavily than broader seasonal averages. Updated local forecasts and real-time station readings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 28?
25°C 40%
23°C 39%
24°C 38%
27°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
39%
24°C
38%
25°C
40%
26°C
59%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 40%
23°C 39%
24°C 38%
27°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
19°C or below
$152 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$68 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$172 Vol.
1%
22°C
$75 Vol.
1%
23°C
$2 Vol.
39%
24°C
$2 Vol.
38%
25°C
$2 Vol.
40%
26°C
$16 Vol.
59%
27°C
$183 Vol.
1%
28°C
$171 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$207 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts and observations indicate a minimum temperature in Chengdu on August 28 likely between 24–26°C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity (often 70–90%) have limited overnight radiative cooling under the influence of regional monsoon patterns. Official meteorological summaries project a daily range of roughly 21–32°C or 24–33°C, with actual overnight lows constrained near 24–25°C amid ongoing precipitation. Current hourly data show temperatures holding above 25°C into the early morning hours, reducing the chance of sharper drops to 22°C or below. Traders appear to weight these near-term atmospheric conditions and model consensus more heavily than broader seasonal averages. Updated local forecasts and real-time station readings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,050End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts and observations indicate a minimum temperature in Chengdu on August 28 likely between 24–26°C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity (often 70–90%) have limited overnight radiative cooling under the influence of regional monsoon patterns. Official meteorological summaries project a daily range of roughly 21–32°C or 24–33°C, with actual overnight lows constrained near 24–25°C amid ongoing precipitation. Current hourly data show temperatures holding above 25°C into the early morning hours, reducing the chance of sharper drops to 22°C or below. Traders appear to weight these near-term atmospheric conditions and model consensus more heavily than broader seasonal averages. Updated local forecasts and real-time station readings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,050End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts and observations indicate a minimum temperature in Chengdu on August 28 likely between 24–26°C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity (often 70–90%) have limited overnight radiative cooling under the influence of regional monsoon patterns. Official meteorological summaries project a daily range of roughly 21–32°C or 24–33°C, with actual overnight lows constrained near 24–25°C amid ongoing precipitation. Current hourly data show temperatures holding above 25°C into the early morning hours, reducing the chance of sharper drops to 22°C or below. Traders appear to weight these near-term atmospheric conditions and model consensus more heavily than broader seasonal averages. Updated local forecasts and real-time station readings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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