Recent Met Office guidance and supporting model runs point to a minimum temperature of 15–17°C in London on August 30, with cloudy skies, moderate southwesterly flow, and a mild maritime air mass limiting overnight radiational cooling and keeping values near the seasonal average. Trader consensus clusters on 16°C (45.5%) ahead of 17°C (38%) because ensemble spreads show modest sensitivity to exact cloud timing and wind speeds, which can alter the low by 1°C. Historical August minima in the capital average near 14–15°C, but the current unsettled pattern favors milder readings. Updated high-resolution forecasts from the UK Met Office and ECMWF, expected within the next 24–48 hours, will provide the clearest signal ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in London on August 30?
Lowest temperature in London on August 30?
16°C 41%
17°C 37%
15°C 24%
18°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
11°C or below
2%
12°C
9%
13°C
14%
14°C
15%
15°C
24%
16°C
41%
17°C
37%
18°C
16%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
1%
16°C 41%
17°C 37%
15°C 24%
18°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
11°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
12°C
$20 Vol.
9%
13°C
$0 Vol.
14%
14°C
$0 Vol.
15%
15°C
$0 Vol.
24%
16°C
$85 Vol.
41%
17°C
$57 Vol.
37%
18°C
$0 Vol.
16%
19°C
$5 Vol.
2%
20°C
$5 Vol.
2%
21°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and supporting model runs point to a minimum temperature of 15–17°C in London on August 30, with cloudy skies, moderate southwesterly flow, and a mild maritime air mass limiting overnight radiational cooling and keeping values near the seasonal average. Trader consensus clusters on 16°C (45.5%) ahead of 17°C (38%) because ensemble spreads show modest sensitivity to exact cloud timing and wind speeds, which can alter the low by 1°C. Historical August minima in the capital average near 14–15°C, but the current unsettled pattern favors milder readings. Updated high-resolution forecasts from the UK Met Office and ECMWF, expected within the next 24–48 hours, will provide the clearest signal ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$183End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and supporting model runs point to a minimum temperature of 15–17°C in London on August 30, with cloudy skies, moderate southwesterly flow, and a mild maritime air mass limiting overnight radiational cooling and keeping values near the seasonal average. Trader consensus clusters on 16°C (45.5%) ahead of 17°C (38%) because ensemble spreads show modest sensitivity to exact cloud timing and wind speeds, which can alter the low by 1°C. Historical August minima in the capital average near 14–15°C, but the current unsettled pattern favors milder readings. Updated high-resolution forecasts from the UK Met Office and ECMWF, expected within the next 24–48 hours, will provide the clearest signal ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$183End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and supporting model runs point to a minimum temperature of 15–17°C in London on August 30, with cloudy skies, moderate southwesterly flow, and a mild maritime air mass limiting overnight radiational cooling and keeping values near the seasonal average. Trader consensus clusters on 16°C (45.5%) ahead of 17°C (38%) because ensemble spreads show modest sensitivity to exact cloud timing and wind speeds, which can alter the low by 1°C. Historical August minima in the capital average near 14–15°C, but the current unsettled pattern favors milder readings. Updated high-resolution forecasts from the UK Met Office and ECMWF, expected within the next 24–48 hours, will provide the clearest signal ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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