Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and Meteo center project Moscow's overnight low on August 28 around 8–10°C under variable cloudiness, light northerly winds, and possible localized fog, driving the near-even market split between 9°C (50%) and 8°C (49%). Clearer intervals promote stronger radiative cooling after sunset, while any increased cloud cover or urban heat retention could keep the minimum at or above 9°C; historical August 28 averages near 11°C make this cooler-than-normal night notable. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering in this narrow range, with traders weighing subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed that distinguish the two leading outcomes. Updated guidance through the evening will refine the final recorded minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Moscow on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on August 28?
9°C 51%
8°C 50%
6°C or below 21%
7°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
6°C or below
21%
7°C
14%
8°C
50%
9°C
51%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
9°C 51%
8°C 50%
6°C or below 21%
7°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
6°C or below
$177 Vol.
21%
7°C
$115 Vol.
14%
8°C
$0 Vol.
50%
9°C
$0 Vol.
51%
10°C
$190 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$183 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$228 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$117 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
16°C or higher
$897 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and Meteo center project Moscow's overnight low on August 28 around 8–10°C under variable cloudiness, light northerly winds, and possible localized fog, driving the near-even market split between 9°C (50%) and 8°C (49%). Clearer intervals promote stronger radiative cooling after sunset, while any increased cloud cover or urban heat retention could keep the minimum at or above 9°C; historical August 28 averages near 11°C make this cooler-than-normal night notable. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering in this narrow range, with traders weighing subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed that distinguish the two leading outcomes. Updated guidance through the evening will refine the final recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,051End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and Meteo center project Moscow's overnight low on August 28 around 8–10°C under variable cloudiness, light northerly winds, and possible localized fog, driving the near-even market split between 9°C (50%) and 8°C (49%). Clearer intervals promote stronger radiative cooling after sunset, while any increased cloud cover or urban heat retention could keep the minimum at or above 9°C; historical August 28 averages near 11°C make this cooler-than-normal night notable. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering in this narrow range, with traders weighing subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed that distinguish the two leading outcomes. Updated guidance through the evening will refine the final recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,051End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and Meteo center project Moscow's overnight low on August 28 around 8–10°C under variable cloudiness, light northerly winds, and possible localized fog, driving the near-even market split between 9°C (50%) and 8°C (49%). Clearer intervals promote stronger radiative cooling after sunset, while any increased cloud cover or urban heat retention could keep the minimum at or above 9°C; historical August 28 averages near 11°C make this cooler-than-normal night notable. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering in this narrow range, with traders weighing subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed that distinguish the two leading outcomes. Updated guidance through the evening will refine the final recorded minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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